The Serie A game at Arena do Grêmio on Sunday will see home team Grêmio fighting it out with Bahia.
Our Grêmio v Bahia predictions, statistics and match poll can be seen below - as well as the best betting odds.
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Form Guide
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Grêmio
WDDDLD
Grêmio head into this match following a 0-0 Copa do Brasil drawn result against CSA.
Under three goals per game were seen in 5 of the last 6 fixtures where Grêmio have been participants. In terms of the goal distribution in that period, opposition teams scored a total of 4 while Grêmio got themselves 4.
Looking at the pre-match facts, Grêmio:
- haven't won against Bahia in their last 2 matches in the league.
- are undefeated in their last 3 home league matches.
Bahia
WWLLLW
Bahia head into the encounter after a 2-1 Serie A win against Vitoria in their previous fixture.
In that match, Bahia had 46% possession and 8 shots at goal with 2 on target. For Bahia, goals were scored by Erick Pulga (23') and Michel Araújo (66'). For their opponents, Vitoria had 23 attempts on goal with 8 of them on target. Renato Kayzer (54') scored for Vitoria.
Rogério Ceni's Bahia have managed to stick the ball in the net 5 times in the course of their latest sextet of matches. The overall goals that they have conceded during those same matches equals 6.
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Head to head
Looking at the statistics for their head to head duels going back to 01/07/2023, there has been little between the sides with Grêmio winning 2 of those games, Bahia 2 and 2 being draws in normal time.
An aggregate of 11 goals were yielded between them in this period, with 5 of them for Tricolor dos Pampas and 6 for Tricolor de Aço. This gives an average number of goals per game equal to 1.83.
The last league match featuring the two was Serie A match day 23 on 17/08/2024 when the final score was Grêmio 0-2 Bahia.
In that match, Grêmio managed 40% possession and 13 shots at goal with 5 of them on target.
Bahia had 12 shots on goal with 5 of them on target. Thaciano (45', 76') was the scorer.
The match was refereed by Matheus Delgado Candançan.
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Team News: Grêmio
Igor Serrote (Wrist fracture), Gustavo Martins (Knee injury), João Lucas (muscular problems), Cristian Olivera (Stomach flu), Mayk (Hamstring injury), Rodrigo Ely (Cruciate ligament tear), Edenilson (Thigh problems) and Gustavo Cuéllar (muscular problems) are unavailable for Grêmio boss Mano Menezes.
We think that Tricolor dos Pampas will probably go for a 4-2-3-1 system in the match with Tiago Volpi, João Pedro, Walter Kannemann, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Mathías Villasanti, Alysson Edward, Miguel Monsalve, Alexander Aravena and Martin Braithwaite.
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Team News: Bahia
Bahia manager Rogério Ceni has to choose a team with limited availability. André Dhominique (Cruciate ligament injury), Rezende (Lumbar vertebra problems), Ademir (Muscle injury), Kanu (Muscle injury), Ronaldo (Hamstring injury) and Santiago Arias (Hamstring injury) are not able to play.
We are inclined to think that Tricolor de Aço seem most likely to begin the game with a 4-4-2 lineup, settling for Marcos Felipe, Gilberto, David Duarte, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Caio Alexandre, Erick Carvalho, Everton Ribeiro, Cauly, Luciano Rodríguez and Erick Pulga.
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Prediction
We feel that in this game, Bahia certainly have the ability to find the net against this Grêmio lineup, but that probably shouldn’t be enough to avoid a loss.
We reckon that it will be a 2-1 win for Grêmio by the time that the referee blows the final whistle. Could easily see this go either way.
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⚽️ What are the top odds for this match?
Looking at the betting prices for the match on the WDW market, victory for Grêmio is available for 2.38, backing the draw is 3.2 and staking on the winning team to be Bahia will get you 3.1. They’re the top market prices that can be secured at the current time.
Andre Moura,
07:09 21/05/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
⚽️ Team Focus:
Grêmio
Formed: 1903
Stadium: Arena do Grêmio (55,662)
Captain: Mathías Villasanti
Chairman: Alberto Guerra
Manager: Mano Menezes
Competitions: Serie A position 17, Copa do Brasil (Third Round), Copa Sudamericana (Group D)