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Predictions and Tips
Casa Pia will visit Estádio da Madeira on Sunday for the Primeira Liga fixture with hosts Nacional.
All Nacional v Casa Pia game predictions, stats and user poll are shown below - plus the latest match odds.
📏 Form Guide

Nacional
LWDLWL
Nacional will be hoping to return to winning ways here after a 3-0 Primeira Liga defeat in their last game at the hands of Benfica.
In that match, Nacional had 44% possession and 12 shots at goal with 3 on target. For their opponents, Benfica got 18 shots at goal with 12 of them on target. Zeki Amdouni (5'), Orkun Kökçü (23') and Vangelis Pavlidis (92') scored for Benfica.
It’s not been often in recent games where Nacional haven’t conceded. It will be a concern for them that Nacional have seen their defence breached in 5 of their previous 6 clashes, giving up 9 goals during that time. Despite that, time will tell if the trend will be sustained in this next match or not.
Going into this game, the form guide shows that Nacional:
- have left without a victory over Casa Pia in their last 3 matches in the league.
- haven't been defeated in their previous 2 home league matches.
Casa Pia
LWLWLL
After tasting defeat last time out to Sporting Lisbon in Primeira Liga action, Casa Pia and their travelling supporters will be hoping that they can get a better result in this one.
In that game, Casa Pia managed 52% possession and 10 attempts on goal with 3 of them on target. For their opponents, Sporting CP got 17 shots at goal with 6 on target. Gonçalo Inácio (12'), Viktor Gyökeres (34', 77') and Ricardo Esgaio (45' Own goal) scored for Sporting Lisbon.
In the course of their six most recent matches, João Pereira's Casa Pia have found the net 6 times, yielding them a goals per game average of 1.
Ahead of this meeting, Casa Pia haven’t won away from home in the past 3 league games.
🤜🤛 Head to head
The previous league fixture between these clubs was Primeira Liga match day 9 on 25/10/2024 which finished with the scoreline of Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional.
In that game, Casa Pia had 43% possession and 14 attempts on goal with 5 of them on target. Their only player to score was Ruben Kluivert (39').
At the other end, Nacional had 19 shots at goal with 6 on target.
The match was refereed by David Silva.
🗞️ Team News: Nacional
There aren’t many selection issues, with just the lone fitness concern for the Nacional manager Tiago Margarido to be concerned about from a near full-strength set of players. Miguel Baeza (unknown injury) misses out.
In our view, Os Alvinegros should opt for a 4-1-4-1 system in the match and select Lucas Franca, Gustavo Garcia, Ulisses Rocha, Leonardo Santos, Arvin Appiah, Djibril Soumare, Matheus Dias, Luis Esteves, Chiheb Labidi, Joel Tagueu and Dudu Teodora.
ℹ️ Team News: Casa Pia
Casa Pia boss João Pereira has a number of players out of action. Kiki (unknown injury) and Clau Mendes (sprain) are not ready for selection.
We’re of the thinking that Os Gansos (The Geese) seem most likely to make use of a 3-4-3 formation, settling for Patrick Sequeira, Joao Goulart, Jose Fonte, Duplexe Tchamba, Gaizka Larrazabal, Pablo, Rafael Brito, Leonardo Lelo, Jeremy Livolant, Caue Vinicius and Miguel Sousa.
⚡ Prediction
We’re of the view that Casa Pia have enough to score a goal against this Nacional lineup, however that probably shouldn’t be as many as they will have scored against them.
We’re expecting a tight encounter finishing with a 2-1 advantage for Nacional after 90 minutes. Let’s see what happens here.
Renata Leite, 15:02 16/03/2025
📊 Poll: Who Will Win?

🏟️ Team Focus:
Nacional
Formed: 1910
Stadium: Estádio da Madeira (5,586)
Captain: João Aurélio
Chairman: Rui António Macedo Alves
Manager: Tiago Margarido
Competitions: Primeira Liga position 13
🔑 Star Player: Daniel Penha

Usually playing in the Central Attacking Midfielder position, Daniel Penha was born in Brazil. After having played his first senior match for Newcastle United Jets in the 2021 - 2022 season, the accomplished Midfielder has scored a sum of 3 league goals in this Liga Portugal 2024 - 2025 campaign to date from a total of 22 appearances.
Casa Pia |
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Nacional |
Casa Pia |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Nacional |
Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | Form |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
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26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 47 | 62 | DDWWW |
2 |
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24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 56 | WWWWW |
3 |
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26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 53 | WDWLW |
4 |
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26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 53 | DWLWW |
5 |
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26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 43 | LDLDW |
6 |
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25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 38 | DDDWW |
7 |
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25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 36 | WLWLL |
8 |
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25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 35 | WDWLD |
9 |
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26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 34 | WWLWL |
10 |
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25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 29 | DDLWL |
11 |
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25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 28 | LWLDD |
12 |
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25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 28 | DDDLW |
13 |
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25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 26 | WDLWL |
14 |
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25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -13 | 23 | LLLDL |
15 |
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26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -17 | 23 | DDWLL |
16 |
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25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 23 | LWDDD |
17 |
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26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -20 | 17 | LDLDL |
18 |
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25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -26 | 15 | LLLWL |
Nacional |
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Casa Pia |
Benfica |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Famalicão |
Braga |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Estoril |
Farense |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Sporting Lisbon |
Vitória Guimarães |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Gil Vicente |
Moreirense |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Estrela Amadora |
Nacional |
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Famalicão |
Nacional |
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Estoril |
Nacional |
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Arouca |
Nacional |
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AVS |
Nacional |
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Porto |
Nacional |
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Benfica |
Vitória Guimarães |
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Casa Pia |
Moreirense |
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Casa Pia |
Santa Clara |
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Casa Pia |
Boavista |
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Casa Pia |
Braga |
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Casa Pia |
Estoril |
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Casa Pia |
Goals scored | 1.3 |
Goals conceded | 1.4 |
Time first goal scored | 32 |
Time first goal conceded | 38 |
Yellow cards | 2.7 |
Red cards | 0 |
Subs used | 4.8 |
Biggest victory | 3-1 |
Biggest defeat | 6-1 |
Goals scored | 1.2 |
Goals conceded | 1.6 |
Time first goal scored | 46 |
Time first goal conceded | 45 |
Yellow cards | 2.5 |
Red cards | 0 |
Subs used | 5 |
Biggest victory | 2-0 |
Biggest defeat | 3-0 |
Daniel Penha | 3 |
Dudu Teodora | 3 |
Isaac | 3 |
José Gomes | 3 |
Bruno Costa | 2 |
Cassiano | 8 |
Nuno Moreira | 5 |
Jérémy Livolant | 3 |
João Goulart | 2 |
Telasco Segovia | 2 |
Nacional |
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Casa Pia |
Santa Clara |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Estrela Amadora |
Boavista |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Gil Vicente |
Moreirense |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Vitória Guimarães |
Nacional |
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Rio Ave |
Porto |
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Nacional |
Nacional |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Rio Ave |
Farense |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Porto |
AVS |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Estoril |
Arouca |
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Casa Pia |
Casa Pia |
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Braga |
Famalicão |
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Casa Pia |
