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The Primeira Liga fixture at Estádio da Madeira on Sunday will see home side Nacional taking on opponents Casa Pia.
Scroll down to see all of the predictions, poll and statistics for Nacional v Casa Pia - plus the latest match odds.
Nacional will be wanting a better result here after the 3-0 Primeira Liga loss in their previous game against Benfica.
In that match, Nacional managed 44% possession and 12 attempts on goal with 3 of them on target. Benfica got 18 shots at goal with 12 of them on target. Zeki Amdouni (5'), Orkun Kökçü (23') and Vangelis Pavlidis (92') scored for Benfica.
It’s not been often in recent games where Nacional haven’t conceded. It will be a concern for them that Nacional have seen their defence breached in 5 of their previous 6 clashes, giving up 9 goals during that time. Despite that, time will tell if the trend will be sustained in this next match or not.
Going into this game, the form guide shows that Nacional:
After suffering a loss in their previous game against Sporting Lisbon in Primeira Liga competition, Casa Pia and their fans will hope to get a better result this time.
In that game, Casa Pia managed 52% possession and 10 shots on goal with 3 of them on target. At the other end, Sporting CP got 17 attempts on goal with 6 on target. Gonçalo Inácio (12'), Viktor Gyökeres (34', 77') and Ricardo Esgaio (45' Own goal) scored for Sporting Lisbon.
In the course of their six most recent matches, João Pereira's Casa Pia have found the net 6 times, yielding them a goals per game average of 1.
Ahead of this meeting, Casa Pia haven’t won away from home in the past 3 league games.
The last league fixture between these sides was Primeira Liga match day 9 on 25/10/2024 which ended up with the score at Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional.
On that occasion, Casa Pia managed 43% possession and 14 attempts at goal with 5 on target. The scorer was Ruben Kluivert (39').
For their opponents, Nacional got 19 shots at goal with 6 on target.
The match was refereed by David Silva.
It doesn’t get much better regarding selection, with just the lone fitness concern for the Nacional boss Tiago Margarido to be concerned about from a near full-strength squad. Miguel Baeza (unknown injury) misses out.
Casa Pia boss João Pereira has to currently contend with reduced team options. Kiki (unknown injury) and Clau Mendes (sprain) are not able to play.
We’re of the view that Casa Pia have enough to score a goal against this Nacional lineup, however that probably shouldn’t be as many as they will have scored against them.
We’re expecting a tight encounter finishing with a 2-1 advantage for Nacional after 90 minutes. Let’s see what happens here.
Renata Leite, 11:17 12/03/2025
⚽️ Team Focus:
Nacional
Formed: 1910
Stadium: Estádio da Madeira (5,586)
Captain: João Aurélio
Chairman: Rui António Macedo Alves
Manager: Tiago Margarido
Competitions: Primeira Liga position 13
🔑 Star Player: Daniel Penha
Usually playing in the Central Attacking Midfielder position, Daniel Penha was born in Brazil. After having played his first senior match for Newcastle United Jets in the 2021 - 2022 season, the accomplished Midfielder has scored a sum of 3 league goals in this Liga Portugal 2024 - 2025 campaign to date from a total of 22 appearances.
| Casa Pia |
|
Nacional |
| Casa Pia |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Casa Pia |
| Casa Pia |
|
Nacional |
| Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 59 | DDDWW |
| 2 |
|
24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 56 | WWWWW |
| 3 |
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 50 | DWDWL |
| 4 |
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 50 | WDWLW |
| 5 |
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 40 | WLDLD |
| 6 |
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 38 | DDDWW |
| 7 |
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | -1 | 36 | WLWLL |
| 8 |
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 35 | WDWLD |
| 9 |
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 34 | DWWLW |
| 10 |
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 29 | DDLWL |
| 11 |
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 28 | LWLDD |
| 12 |
|
25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 28 | DDDLW |
| 13 |
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 26 | WDLWL |
| 14 |
|
24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -12 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 15 |
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -15 | 23 | LDDWL |
| 16 |
|
25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 23 | LWDDD |
| 17 |
|
25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -19 | 17 | LLDLD |
| 18 |
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -26 | 15 | LLLWL |
| Benfica |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Famalicão |
| Braga |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Estoril |
| Farense |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Arouca |
| Casa Pia |
|
Sporting Lisbon |
| Vitória Guimarães |
|
Casa Pia |
| Casa Pia |
|
Gil Vicente |
| Moreirense |
|
Casa Pia |
| Casa Pia |
|
Estrela Amadora |
| Santa Clara |
|
Casa Pia |
| Nacional |
|
Famalicão |
| Nacional |
|
Estoril |
| Nacional |
|
Arouca |
| Nacional |
|
AVS |
| Nacional |
|
Porto |
| Nacional |
|
Benfica |
| Vitória Guimarães |
|
Casa Pia |
| Moreirense |
|
Casa Pia |
| Santa Clara |
|
Casa Pia |
| Boavista |
|
Casa Pia |
| Braga |
|
Casa Pia |
| Estoril |
|
Casa Pia |
| Goals scored | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| Time first goal scored | 32 |
| Time first goal conceded | 38 |
| Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| Red cards | 0 |
| Subs used | 4.8 |
| Biggest victory | 3-1 |
| Biggest defeat | 6-1 |
| Goals scored | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| Time first goal scored | 46 |
| Time first goal conceded | 45 |
| Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| Red cards | 0 |
| Subs used | 5 |
| Biggest victory | 2-0 |
| Biggest defeat | 3-0 |
| Daniel Penha | 3 |
| Dudu Teodora | 3 |
| Isaac | 3 |
| José Gomes | 3 |
| Bruno Costa | 2 |
| Cassiano | 8 |
| Nuno Moreira | 5 |
| Jérémy Livolant | 3 |
| João Goulart | 2 |
| Telasco Segovia | 2 |
| Nacional |
|
Casa Pia |
| Santa Clara |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Estrela Amadora |
| Boavista |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Gil Vicente |
| Moreirense |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Vitória Guimarães |
| Nacional |
|
Rio Ave |
| Porto |
|
Nacional |
| Nacional |
|
Casa Pia |
| Casa Pia |
|
Rio Ave |
| Farense |
|
Casa Pia |
| Casa Pia |
|
Porto |
| AVS |
|
Casa Pia |
| Casa Pia |
|
Estoril |
| Arouca |
|
Casa Pia |
| Casa Pia |
|
Braga |
| Famalicão |
|
Casa Pia |
While we have made these predictions for Nacional v Casa Pia for this match preview with the best of intentions, no profits are guaranteed. Always gamble responsibly, and with what you can afford to lose. Good luck with your selections.
Look at all of the next (and previous) Primeira Liga predictions & previews here.
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