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Predictions and Tips
The A-League tie at AAMI Park on Friday sees home team Melbourne Victory ready themselves for the challenge from opponents Sydney FC.
Our Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC predictions, statistics and match poll can be seen below - as well as up-to-date odds.
📏 Form Guide
Melbourne Victory
DLDDLL 📉
Melbourne Victory will be looking for an improved result here following a 3-2 A-League defeat last time out to Adelaide United.
In that match, Melbourne Victory had 57% possession and 16 shots at goal with 5 of them on target. For Melbourne Victory, the goalscorers were Ryan Teague (18'), Roderick Miranda (45' Own goal) and Rodrigues (66'). At the other end, Adelaide United had 10 shots at goal with 4 of them on target. Stefan Mauk (31') and Ethan Alagich (71') scored for Adelaide United.
Fixtures involving Melbourne Victory have proved to be engaging affairs recently with high scoring being a common characteristic. Over their past 6 games alone, a total of 21 goals have gone in for both teams combined (at an average of 3.5 goals per game) with 8 of them belonging to Melbourne Victory.
Their prior results show that Melbourne Victory:
- have not won against Sydney FC in their last 2 matches in the league.
- are without a win at home for the past 3 matches in the league.
Sydney FC
WDWWDL
Since tasting defeat last time out to Brisbane Roar in A-League competition, Sydney FC and their travelling supporters will be hoping that they can get a better result in this one.
In that game, Sydney FC managed 58% possession and 18 attempts at goal with 5 of them on target. For Sydney FC, the scorers were Joel King (31'), Tiago Quintal (84') and Jordan Courtney-Perkins (87'). For their opponents, Brisbane Roar got 18 attempts on goal with 6 on target. Ben Halloran (16'), Henry Hore (21'), Adam Zimarino (41') and Lucas Herrington (71') scored for Brisbane Roar.
In a total of 5 out of the previous 6 games involving Sydney FC, three or more goals have gone in. The overall average number of goals per match within that time is 3.67, with the average number of goals for Sydney FC equalling 2.5. Let’s see whether or not that trend can be sustained in this game.
Their previous form shows that Sydney FC:
- have not beaten Melbourne Victory when they've played them away from home in the last 2 matches in the league.
- haven't been defeated in their previous 3 league matches away from home.
- are without a win away from home in their last 4 matches in the league.
↔️ Head to head
Looking over their most recent head to head clashes dating back to 26/01/2023 shows that Melbourne Victory have won 2 of these games & Sydney FC 3, with the tally of drawn matches standing at 1.
A combined total of 14 goals were yielded between them in these games, with 7 of them for Victory and 7 created by The Sky Blues. That’s an average goals per game figure of 2.33.
The last league contest featuring the two was A-League match day 10 on 28/12/2024 which finished with the scoreline of Sydney FC 3-0 Melbourne Victory.
In that game, Sydney FC managed 53% possession and 15 shots on goal with 10 on target. The scorers were Joe Lolley (2', 26') and Jaiden Kucharski (86').
On the other side, Melbourne Victory got 16 attempts on goal with 3 on target.
The referee was Adam Kersey.
ℹ️ Team News: Sydney FC
Sydney FC manager Ufuk Talay has multiple availability issues to deal with. Anthony Cáceres (concussion) and Douglas Costa (Hamstring injury) are those who can’t be considered.
💭 Prediction
In our view, Melbourne Victory can and should be able to create a decent number of chances and shots on target.
At the other end, Sydney FC may well find it hard to get a goal of their own but we do fancy them managing to get on the scoresheet, too.
We’re therefore expecting to see a fairly comfortable 3-1 winning score for Melbourne Victory at full-time.
Our expert partners are tipping under 3.5 goals for this match. Check out their VIP predictions here.
Andre Moura, 08:06 24/01/2025
📊 Poll: Who Will Win?
🏟️ Team Focus:
Melbourne Victory
Formed: 2004
Stadium: AAMI Park (30,050)
Captain: Roderick Miranda
Chairman: John Dovaston
Manager: Arthur Diles
Competitions: A-League position 7
🔑 Key Man: Bruno Fornaroli
Mostly played in the Striker position, Bruno Fornaroli was born in Salto, Uruguay. Having made a first senior appearance for Sampdoria in the 2008 - 2009 season, the goalscoring Forward has netted 2 league goals in the A-League 2024 - 2025 season to date in a total of 10 appearances.
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Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | Form |
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1 |
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13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 28 | LWWWD |
2 |
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13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 27 | WDLWD |
3 |
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13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 24 | DWWWL |
4 |
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14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 24 | WWLWW |
5 |
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14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | DWWDL |
6 |
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14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | WWLWL |
7 |
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13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | LDDLL |
8 |
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13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 | WLDWL |
9 |
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13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 17 | WLLDW |
10 |
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13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 17 | LDWLW |
11 |
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12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 10 | LDWLL |
12 |
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14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -26 | 8 | LLLWL |
13 |
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13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -14 | 5 | LLLLW |
Perth Glory |
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Melbourne Victory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Sydney FC |
Adelaide United |
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Melbourne Victory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Western United |
Melbourne Victory |
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Western Sydney Wanderers |
Auckland FC |
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Melbourne Victory |
Sydney FC |
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Adelaide United |
Melbourne Victory |
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Sydney FC |
Sydney FC |
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Brisbane Roar |
Wellington Phoenix |
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Sydney FC |
Sydney FC |
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Central Coast Mariners |
Sydney FC |
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Perth Glory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Western United |
Melbourne Victory |
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Western Sydney Wanderers |
Melbourne Victory |
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Melbourne City |
Melbourne Victory |
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Perth Glory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Brisbane Roar |
Melbourne Victory |
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Macarthur FC |
Wellington Phoenix |
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Sydney FC |
Newcastle United Jets |
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Sydney FC |
Adelaide United |
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Sydney FC |
Central Coast Mariners |
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Sydney FC |
Brisbane Roar |
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Sydney FC |
Auckland FC |
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Sydney FC |
Goals scored | 2 |
Goals conceded | 1.3 |
Time first goal scored | 36 |
Time first goal conceded | 32 |
Yellow cards | 0.8 |
Red cards | 0 |
Subs used | 4.5 |
Biggest victory | 2-0 |
Biggest defeat | 4-3 |
Goals scored | 1.6 |
Goals conceded | 1.6 |
Time first goal scored | 45 |
Time first goal conceded | 55 |
Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Red cards | 0.3 |
Subs used | 3.9 |
Biggest victory | 3-2 |
Biggest defeat | 2-1 |
Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
Rodrigues | 3 |
Ryan Teague | 3 |
Nishan Velupillay | 3 |
Nikos Vergos | 3 |
Joe Lolley | 9 |
Patryk Klimala | 6 |
Adrian Segecic | 6 |
Jordan Courtney-Perkins | 3 |
Anthony Cáceres | 2 |
Newcastle United Jets |
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Melbourne Victory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Wellington Phoenix |
Melbourne Victory |
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Melbourne City |
Brisbane Roar |
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Melbourne Victory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Central Coast Mariners |
Western Sydney Wanderers |
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Melbourne Victory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Adelaide United |
Wellington Phoenix |
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Melbourne Victory |
Melbourne Victory |
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Auckland FC |
Macarthur FC |
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Melbourne Victory |
Sydney FC |
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Western Sydney Wanderers |
Perth Glory |
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Sydney FC |
Macarthur FC |
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Sydney FC |
Sydney FC |
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Wellington Phoenix |
Sydney FC |
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Melbourne City |
Adelaide United |
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Sydney FC |
Sydney FC |
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Auckland FC |
Sydney FC |
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Newcastle United Jets |
Western United |
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Sydney FC |
Melbourne City |
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Sydney FC |