Estrela Amadora are the guests at Estádio da Madeira on Sunday for the Primeira Liga showdown with hosts Nacional.
Our Nacional v Estrela Amadora tips, poll and stats can be seen in full below including the latest game odds.
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Form Guide
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Nacional
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Nacional won’t want a repeat of their last result here after the 1-0 Primeira Liga loss in their previous game against Santa Clara.
In that game, Nacional had 63% possession and 9 shots at goal with 4 on target. Santa Clara got 13 attempts at goal with 5 on target. João Costa (3') scored for Santa Clara.
It’s been all too rare in recent games where Nacional haven’t conceded. In fact, Nacional have been scored against in 6 of their previous 6 games, shipping 9 goals on the way. In any event, it remains to be seen if such a trend shall persist here in this match.
Coming into this fixture, Nacional haven't been defeated in their previous 3 league matches at home.
Estrela Amadora
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Following on from a losing effort in their last game against Sporting Lisbon in Primeira Liga action, Estrela Amadora will be hoping to turn things around here.
In that game, Estrela Amadora managed 34% possession and 7 shots on goal with 0 on target. Sporting CP had 13 shots at goal with 7 of them on target. Viktor Gyökeres (52', 89') and Geovany Quenda (81') scored for Sporting Lisbon.
In 5 of the past 6 clashes involving Estrela Amadora, a comparatively low number of goals have been hit between them and their opponents. The overall average number of goals per game within that period is a paltry 1.67, with the average goals for Estrela being 0.5.
Coming into this fixture, Estrela Amadora are without an away win for the past 2 league games.
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Head to head
Inspecting their most recent head-to-head clashes stretching back to 22/02/2009 shows that Nacional have won 2 of them and Estrela Amadora 3, with the tally of drawn results being 1.
A combined sum of 10 goals were produced between them in these games, with 5 for Os Alvinegros and 5 being from Estrela. The average goals per game has been 1.67.
The previous league fixture between these clubs was Primeira Liga match day 11 on 10/11/2024 when it finished Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional.
On that occasion, Estrela Amadora managed 51% possession and 17 shots at goal with 3 of them on target. The goalscorers were Paulo Moreira (77') and Kikas (86').
At the other end, Nacional got 15 shots at goal with 4 of them on target.
The referee was Bruno Pires Costa.
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Team News: Nacional
Almost everyone can be considered, as there’s just the sole fitness concern for the Nacional gaffer Tiago Margarido to be concerned with from an otherwise complete set of players. Miguel Baeza (unknown injury) misses out.
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Prediction
When taking everything into account, Estrela Amadora may find it difficult to put one past this Nacional side who we think should manage to score & go ahead.
Therefore, we predict a hard-fought contest, finishing with a 1-0 win for Nacional at the conclusion of the game.
Hopefully it’s a good one.
Lucas Pereira,
08:04 03/04/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
⚽️ Team Focus:
Nacional
Formed: 1910
Stadium: Estádio da Madeira (5,586)
Captain: João Aurélio
Chairman: Rui António Macedo Alves
Manager: Tiago Margarido
Competitions: Primeira Liga position 11
⭐ Star Player: Daniel Penha
Customarily playing in the Central Attacking Midfielder position, Daniel Penha was born in Brazil. After having made a senior debut playing for Newcastle United Jets in the 2021 - 2022 season, the goalscoring Midfielder has hit 4 league goals in this Liga Portugal 2024 - 2025 season so far in a total of 24 appearances.