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Predictions and Tips
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Prediction
👉
Under 2.5
The Serie A game at Arena do Grêmio on Saturday will see hosts Grêmio taking on opponents Santos.
Scroll down to see all of the predictions, poll and statistics for Grêmio v Santos (including the best match odds).
Full-Time Result Prediction
👉
Grêmio to Win
📊 Form Guide
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Grêmio
DWLWDW
Grêmio are hoping to win again following the 2-0 Copa Sudamericana triumph vs Palestino.
In that game, Grêmio had 55% possession and 11 shots at goal with 4 of them on target. For Grêmio, the goals were scored by Martin Braithwaite (4') and Cristian Pavón (68'). At the other end, Palestino got 18 shots on goal with 4 of them on target.
A common feature of more recent Grêmio games is the number of nil scores.
From their previous sextet of matches before this one, in 5 of them a wager on both teams scoring would've lost. Let’s find out whether or not that trend will end up being sustained in this game.
Going into this one, Grêmio haven't been beaten in the league by Santos in their previous 2 matches.
Santos
DDWWLD
In their last fixture, Santos drew 2-2 in the Copa Sudamericana tie with San Lorenzo.
In that match, Santos managed 45% possession and 9 attempts on goal with 4 of them on target. For Santos, the goalscorers were Bontempo (1') and Barbosa (45'). At the other end, San Lorenzo got 14 shots on goal with 6 of them on target. Mathías de Ritis (72') and Rodrigo Auzmendi (85') scored for San Lorenzo.
Over the course of 5 of the prior six games featuring Santos, a notably low volume of goals have been struck between them and opposing sides. The overall average number of goals per game within that spell comes out as a mere 2.17, with the average goals for Peixe equalling 1.33.
Their prior results show that Santos:
- haven't won against Grêmio in away games against them for the last 4 matches in the league. They really have not been travelling well at all.
- haven't been defeated in their previous 2 away league matches.
- have not won away from home in their last 7 league matches.
↔️ Head to head
If we look at their past head to head duels dating back to 25/06/2021, there has been little to separate the clubs with Grêmio winning 2 of those games, Santos 2 and 2 being draws in regulation time.
A combined total of 12 goals were scored between them in this period, with 6 of them for Tricolor dos Pampas and 6 created by Peixe. The average number of goals per game works out to 2.
The previous league contest between the two was Serie A match day 26 on 02/10/2025 when the final score was Santos 1-1 Grêmio.
That time, Santos had 65% possession and 23 shots at goal with 7 on target. Their only player to score was Lautaro Díaz (89').
Grêmio got 4 attempts on goal with 1 of them on target. Edenílson (56') scored.
The referee was Paulo Cesar Zanovelli.
🗞️ Team News: Grêmio
Fabián Balbuena (Hamstring injury), João Pedro (Muscle injury), Arthur Melo (Hamstring injury), Marlon (Broken ankle), Mathías Villasanti (Knee injury), Juan Nardoni (Hamstring injury), Gustavo Martins (Leg injury) and Roger (Hamstring injury) won’t be available for Grêmio gaffer Luís Castro. Ineligible players who cannot play in this game through suspension are André Henrique, Gabriel Mec and Pedro Gabriel.
We are thinking that Tricolor dos Pampas should employ a 4-2-3-1 system this time featuring Weverton, Cristian Pavón, Luis Eduardo, Viery Fernandes, Caio Paulista, Leonel Perez, Arthur, José Enamorado, Martin Braithwaite, Francis Amuzu and Carlos Vinícius.
🗞️ Team News: Santos
Santos boss Cuca Stival has multiple availability issues to deal with. Neymar (Calf problems), João Schmidt (Hamstring injury), Thaciano (Hamstring injury), Benjamín Rollheiser (muscular problems), Gabriel Menino (Hamstring injury) and Vinicius Lira (Cruciate ligament injury) are names that won’t be on the team sheet. Álvaro Barreal is ineligible for this match because of suspension.
We are inclined to think that Peixe could decide to begin the game with a 4-2-3-1 formation by sending out Gabriel Brazão, Igor Vinícius, Adonis Frías, Lucas Verissimo, Gonzalo Escobar, Willian Arao, Gustavo Henrique, Gabriel Bontempo, Rony, Miguel Terceros and Gabriel Barbosa.
🔮 Prediction
Looking at these two teams, we feel that Santos might well have a job on their hands to get anything against this Grêmio team who will likely manage to score & go ahead.
We’re therefore predicting a very competitive encounter with a 1-0 winning score for Grêmio at full-time.
Let’s see how this one goes.
Victor Martins, 21:03 23/05/2026
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
📊 Poll: Who Will Win?
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Correct Score Prediction
👉
1-0
⚽️ Team Focus:
Grêmio
Formed: 1903
Stadium: Arena do Grêmio (55,662)
Captain: Walter Kannemann
Chairman: Odorico Roman
Manager: Luís Castro
Competitions: Serie A position 15, Copa do Brasil (Fifth Round), Copa Sudamericana (Group F)
⭐ Key Man: Vinícius
Normally taking up the Striker position, Vinícius was born in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. After having made a senior debut playing for Real SC in the 2017 - 2018 season, the gifted Forward has managed to score 7 league goals in the Série A 2026 season to date in 15 appearances.
| Santos |
|
Grêmio |
| Grêmio |
|
Santos |
| Santos |
|
Grêmio |
| Grêmio |
|
Santos |
| Santos |
|
Grêmio |
| Grêmio |
|
Santos |
| Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 35 | WWDDD |
| 2 |
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 31 | WWDWD |
| 3 |
|
16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 30 | WWLDW |
| 4 |
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 27 | LWDLL |
| 5 |
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 24 | LWDLD |
| 6 |
|
16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 23 | WLWLW |
| 7 |
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 8 |
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | WLLDW |
| 9 |
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 22 | DLWDL |
| 10 |
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 | WDLDW |
| 11 |
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -1 | 21 | LLWDW |
| 12 |
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | LDWDW |
| 13 |
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 20 | WLDWL |
| 14 |
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 20 | WWLWD |
| 15 |
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 18 | LWDLD |
| 16 |
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 18 | LDDWL |
| 17 |
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -4 | 18 | DWLWL |
| 18 |
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 15 | LLWDW |
| 19 |
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 |
|
15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 9 | LLLDL |
| Grêmio |
|
Corinthians |
| Grêmio |
|
Montevideo City Torque |
| Grêmio |
|
Santos |
| Grêmio |
|
Palestino |
| Bahia |
|
Grêmio |
| Confiança |
|
Grêmio |
| Santos |
|
Vitoria |
| Santos |
|
Deportivo Cuenca |
| Grêmio |
|
Santos |
| Santos |
|
San Lorenzo |
| Santos |
|
Coritiba |
| Coritiba |
|
Santos |
| Grêmio |
|
Flamengo |
| Grêmio |
|
Coritiba |
| Grêmio |
|
Remo |
| Grêmio |
|
Vitoria |
| Grêmio |
|
Red Bull Bragantino |
| Grêmio |
|
Atlético Mineiro |
| Palmeiras |
|
Santos |
| Bahia |
|
Santos |
| Flamengo |
|
Santos |
| Cruzeiro |
|
Santos |
| Mirassol |
|
Santos |
| Atletico PR |
|
Santos |
| Goals scored | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| Time first goal scored | 31 |
| Time first goal conceded | 52 |
| Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| Red cards | 0 |
| Subs used | 4.6 |
| Biggest victory | 5-3 |
| Biggest defeat | 1-0 |
| Goals scored | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded | 2 |
| Time first goal scored | 40 |
| Time first goal conceded | 41 |
| Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| Red cards | 0 |
| Subs used | 4.9 |
| Biggest victory | null |
| Biggest defeat | 4-2 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 12 |
| Francis Amuzu | 4 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 4 |
| Gabriel Mec | 2 |
| Tetê | 2 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 9 |
| Neymar | 6 |
| Gabriel Bontempo | 3 |
| Benjamin Rollheiser | 3 |
| Álvaro Barreal | 2 |
| Grêmio |
|
Corinthians |
| Mirassol |
|
Grêmio |
| Grêmio |
|
Fluminense |
| Botafogo |
|
Grêmio |
| Grêmio |
|
São Paulo |
| Atlético Mineiro |
|
Grêmio |
| Red Bull Bragantino |
|
Grêmio |
| Grêmio |
|
Chapecoense |
| Vitoria |
|
Grêmio |
| Santos |
|
Vitoria |
| Botafogo |
|
Santos |
| Santos |
|
Chapecoense |
| São Paulo |
|
Santos |
| Santos |
|
Atletico PR |
| Vasco da Gama |
|
Santos |
| Santos |
|
Mirassol |
| Corinthians |
|
Santos |
| Internacional |
|
Santos |
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