Vasco da Gama will arrive at Estádio do MorumBIS on Friday for the Serie A tie with home side São Paulo.
Scroll down for all of our predictions, poll and stats for the São Paulo v Vasco da Gama game - along with the latest match odds.
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Form Guide
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São Paulo
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São Paulo will be looking for an improved result here after a 2-1 Serie A loss in their previous game against Bahia.
In that game, São Paulo had 41% possession and 14 attempts on goal with 4 on target. The only player to score for São Paulo was Luciano (85'). Bahia got 13 attempts at goal with 7 of them on target. José (53', 73') was the scorer for Bahia.
It’s not been often in recent times that São Paulo haven’t conceded. The facts show that São Paulo have seen their defence breached in 6 of their previous 6 games, shipping 8 goals in the process. Let’s see whether or not that trend will be continued on in this game.
Vasco da Gama
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After tasting defeat last time out to Red Bull Bragantino in Serie A action, Vasco da Gama will be hoping to turn things around here.
In that match, Vasco da Gama had 67% possession and 20 attempts on goal with 4 of them on target. Red Bull Bragantino got 4 attempts on goal with 3 on target. Guilherme (2') and Isidro Pitta (34') scored for Red Bull Bragantino.
Fernando Diniz's Vasco da Gama have had reason to celebrate scoring a total of 8 times in the course of their latest 6 matches. The number of goals that they have conceded during that period equals 6.
Their previous form shows that Vasco da Gama:
- haven't beaten São Paulo in away games against them for the last 8 league games. A really bad run.
- haven’t won away from home in the past 5 matches in the league.
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Head to head
An examination of their past head to head meetings stretching back to 29/07/2021 tells us that São Paulo have won 4 of these & Vasco da Gama 1, with the tally of draws standing at 1.
19 goals were scored between them throughout the course of those matches, with 12 of them from Tricolor Paulista and 7 for Vascão. The average number of goals per game works out to 3.17.
The previous league contest featuring these sides was Serie A match day 30 on 17/10/2024 which ended up with the score at São Paulo 3-0 Vasco da Gama.
On that day, São Paulo managed 47% possession and 13 attempts at goal with 5 of them on target. The scorers were Luciano (9') and Moura (46', 67').
On the other side, Vasco da Gama had 9 shots at goal with 3 of them on target.
The referee was Davi de Oliveira Lacerda.
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Team News: São Paulo
Ferreirinha (Foot injury), Ruan (Knee problems), Igor Vinícius (Lumbar vertebra problems), Marcos Antônio (Hamstring injury), Jonathan Calleri (Cruciate ligament injury), Oscar (Thigh problems), Lucas Moura (Knee bruise) and Luiz Gustavo (Lung contusion) will not be taking part for São Paulo manager Luis Zubeldía.
We are thinking that Tricolor Paulista may well go for a 4-2-3-1 formation this time featuring Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Enzo Díaz, Pablo Maia, Alisson, Cedric Soares, Luciano, Lucas Ferreira and André Silva.
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Team News: Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama manager Fernando Diniz has to choose from a squad that has some fitness concerns. David (Cruciate ligament tear), Dimitri Payet (Knee problems) and Guilherme Estrella (Knee problems) are not ready for selection.
We believe Vascão could decide to begin the game with a 4-3-3 formation with a starting lineup of Léo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, João Victor, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, Tchê Tchê, Philippe Coutinho, Hugo Moura, Rayan Vitor, Pablo Vegetti and Nuno Moreira.
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Prediction
We’re thinking that Vasco da Gama should get enough chances to score a goal against this São Paulo side, although that is unlikely to be enough to prevent defeat.
We’re going for a narrow 2-1 win for São Paulo by the time that the referee blows the final whistle. Could easily see this go either way.
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⚽️ What are the top odds for the game?
Regarding the latest bookmaker odds in the win-draw-win market, backing São Paulo is best priced at 1.85, a bet on the game finishing all-square is 3.5 and betting on the win for Vasco da Gama will get you 4.5. These are the top returns being offered at present.
Peter Guest,
06:00 11/06/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
🏟️ Team Focus:
São Paulo
Formed: 1930
Stadium: Estádio do MorumBIS (72,039)
Captain: Jonathan Calleri
Chairman: Julio Casares
Manager: Luis Zubeldía
Competitions: Serie A position 13, Copa do Brasil (Round of 16), Copa Libertadores (Round of 16)
🔑 Star Player: Ferreira
Mostly used in the Left Wing position, Ferreira was born in Dourados, Brazil. Having made his senior debut playing for Grêmio in the 2019 season, the dangerous Forward has scored 3 league goals in this Série A 2025 campaign to date coming from a total of 8 appearances.