Vasco da Gama will be the visitors at Estádio do MorumBIS on Friday for the Serie A game with home side São Paulo.
Scroll down for all of our predictions, poll and stats for the São Paulo v Vasco da Gama game (plus the best game odds).
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Form Guide
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São Paulo
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São Paulo will be looking for an improved result here following the 2-1 Serie A loss in their previous game against Bahia.
In that match, São Paulo managed 41% possession and 14 attempts at goal with 4 on target. The scorer for São Paulo was Luciano (85'). At the other end, Bahia had 13 attempts on goal with 7 of them on target. Willian José (53', 73') scored for Bahia.
It’s not been often in recent times that São Paulo haven’t conceded. The facts show that São Paulo have seen their defence breached in 6 of their previous 6 games, shipping 8 goals in the process. Let’s see whether or not that trend will be continued on in this game.
Vasco da Gama
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Following on from being beaten in their last game against Red Bull Bragantino in Serie A action, Vasco da Gama and their fans will hope to get a better result this time.
In that game, Vasco da Gama had 67% possession and 20 attempts at goal with 4 of them on target. For their opponents, Red Bull Bragantino got 4 attempts at goal with 3 on target. Guilherme (2') and Isidro Pitta (34') scored for Red Bull Bragantino.
Fernando Diniz's Vasco da Gama have had reason to celebrate scoring a total of 8 times in the course of their latest 6 matches. The number of goals that they have conceded during that period equals 6.
Their previous form shows that Vasco da Gama:
- haven't beaten São Paulo in away games against them for the last 8 league games. A really bad run.
- haven’t won away from home in the past 5 matches in the league.
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Head to head
Looking at their most recent head-to-head meetings going back to 29/07/2021 shows us that São Paulo have won 4 of these games & Vasco da Gama 1, with the number of drawn matches being 1.
A sum of 19 goals were produced between them throughout the course of those matches, with 12 of them from Tricolor Paulista and 7 coming from Vascão. That is an average goals per game value of 3.17.
The last league fixture between these clubs was Serie A match day 30 on 17/10/2024 which finished with the scoreline of São Paulo 3-0 Vasco da Gama.
In that match, São Paulo had 47% possession and 13 attempts at goal with 5 on target. The scorers were Luciano (9') and Lucas Moura (46', 67').
On the other side, Vasco da Gama got 9 attempts on goal with 3 of them on target.
The referee was Davi de Oliveira Lacerda.
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Team News: São Paulo
Ferreirinha (Foot injury), Ruan (Knee problems), Igor Vinícius (Lumbar vertebra problems), Marcos Antônio (Hamstring injury), Jonathan Calleri (Cruciate ligament injury), Oscar (Thigh problems), Lucas Moura (Knee bruise) and Luiz Gustavo (Lung contusion) will not be able to play for São Paulo gaffer Luis Zubeldía.
We are thinking that Tricolor Paulista will probably use the 4-2-3-1 formation in the match and select Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Enzo Díaz, Pablo Maia, Alisson, Cedric Soares, Luciano, Lucas Ferreira and André Silva.
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Team News: Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama boss Fernando Diniz has a number of players out of action. David (Cruciate ligament tear), Dimitri Payet (Knee problems) and Guilherme Estrella (Knee problems) will not be playing here.
There’s a good chance that Vascão could decide to utilise a 4-3-3 system, choosing Léo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, João Victor, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, Tchê Tchê, Philippe Coutinho, Hugo Moura, Rayan Vitor, Pablo Vegetti and Nuno Moreira.
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Prediction
We’re thinking that Vasco da Gama should get enough chances to score a goal against this São Paulo side, although that is unlikely to be enough to prevent defeat.
We’re going for a narrow 2-1 win for São Paulo by the time that the referee blows the final whistle. Could easily see this go either way.
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⚽️ What are the top odds for the game?
Regarding the latest bookmaker odds in the win-draw-win market, backing São Paulo is best priced at 1.85, a bet on the game finishing all-square is 3.5 and betting on the win for Vasco da Gama will get you 4.2. These are the top returns being offered at present.
Peter Guest,
07:01 09/06/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
⚽️ Team Focus:
São Paulo
Formed: 1930
Stadium: Estádio do MorumBIS (72,039)
Captain: Jonathan Calleri
Chairman: Julio Casares
Manager: Luis Zubeldía
Competitions: Serie A position 13, Copa do Brasil (Round of 16), Copa Libertadores (Round of 16)
🔑 Star Player: Ferreira
Mostly used in the Left Wing position, Ferreira was born in Dourados, Brazil. Having made his senior debut playing for Grêmio in the 2019 season, the dangerous Forward has scored 3 league goals in this Série A 2025 campaign to date coming from a total of 8 appearances.