São Paulo vs Grêmio Live Stream, Predictions (May 18)

📏 Form Guide

São Paulo

WDWDWL

São Paulo will be hoping to bounce back here following a 1-0 Serie A loss in their previous game against Palmeiras.

In that match, São Paulo managed 43% possession and 6 shots at goal with 2 of them on target. For their opponents, Palmeiras got 17 shots on goal with 4 of them on target. Vitor Roque (95') scored for Palmeiras.

Their more recent scorelines show that things are going according to plan in the São Paulo defence. São Paulo have been stingy, resulting in the total number of goals that have gone in at their end during their previous six games standing at 3. Nevertheless, time will tell whether that pattern might persist here in this match.

Coming into this fixture, São Paulo are undefeated in their last 4 home league matches.

Grêmio

DLWDDD

Previously, Grêmio drew 1-1 in the Copa Sudamericana tie with Godoy Cruz.

In that game, Grêmio managed 63% possession and 18 attempts at goal with 7 on target. The only player on the scoresheet for Grêmio was João Pedro (6'). Godoy Cruz got 16 attempts at goal with 5 on target. Santino Andino (28') was the scorer for Godoy Cruz.

Over the course of 5 of the prior six clashes involving Grêmio, a comparatively low number of goals have been scored between them and their opposition. The overall average number of goals per game in that spell comes to a paltry 2, with the average goals for Tricolor dos Pampas being 1.

Their previous form shows that Grêmio:

• haven't beaten São Paulo when having played them away from home in the previous 10 league matches. A really bad run.
• are without an away win for the past 11 league matches. It's not a good run at all.

↔️ Head to head

Looking at the statistics for their head to head duels going back to 15/08/2021, neither club has come out on top overall with São Paulo winning 3 of those games, Grêmio 3 and 0 being drawn in regulation time.

A sum of 16 goals were scored between them during those clashes, with 8 from Tricolor Paulista and 8 netted by Tricolor dos Pampas. This gives an average number of goals per game equal to 2.67.

The previous league encounter between the two was Serie A match day 36 on 01/12/2024 which ended up with the score at Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo.

In that match, Grêmio managed 38% possession and 16 shots at goal with 8 on target. Their only player on the scoresheet was Franco Cristaldo (36').

São Paulo had 7 attempts on goal with 2 on target. Ruan Tressoldi (45' Own goal) and Luiz Gustavo (64') scored.

The referee was Ramon Abatti.

ℹ️ Team News: São Paulo

Luiz Gustavo (Lung contusion), Oscar (Hamstring injury), Henrique Carmo (Injury to the ankle), Igor Vinícius (Lumbar vertebra problems) and Jonathan Calleri (Cruciate ligament injury) will not be taking part for São Paulo manager Luis Zubeldía.

We think that Tricolor Paulista will possibly employ a 4-2-3-1 system for this game and select Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, Ruan Tressoldi, Alan Franco, Enzo Díaz, Alisson, Marcos Antônio, Cedric Soares, Matheus Alves, Aldemir Ferreira and André Silva.

📰 Team News: Grêmio

Grêmio boss Mano Menezes has not got a full squad to pick from. Gustavo Martins (Knee injury), Mayk (Hamstring injury), Mathías Villasanti (Hamstring injury), Cristian Pavón (muscular problems), Rodrigo Ely (Cruciate ligament tear), Edenilson (Thigh problems) and Gustavo Cuéllar (muscular problems) won’t be making appearances.

It’s our belief that Tricolor dos Pampas will likely elect for a 4-2-3-1 lineup, starting the game with Tiago Volpi, Igor Serrote, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Camilo, Dodi, Cristian Olivera, Nathan De Souza, Francis Amuzu and Martin Braithwaite.

✨ Prediction

We’re inclined to think that Grêmio must be fancied to find the net against this São Paulo outfit, although it might not quite prevent them from conceding a couple at the other end.

We’re tipping a very close game with a 2-1 victory for São Paulo at the end of the 90 minutes. There shouldn’t be much in it, either way.

💵 ⚽️ What are the best odds for this match?

Checking out the betting prices for the game in the 90 minute result market, putting your money on São Paulo is available for 1.8, going for a drawn result is 3.6 and selecting a victory for Grêmio can be had at 4.5. They’re the best market prices that can be secured at the moment.

Lucas Pereira, 10:05 14/05/2025