We have made these São Paulo v Grêmio predictions for this match preview with the best intentions, but no profits are guaranteed. Please always gamble responsibly, only with money that you can afford to lose. Best of luck with your selections.
São Paulo vs Grêmio Live Stream Global Listings (May 18)
Predictions and Tips
The Serie A tie at Estádio do MorumBIS on Sunday sees home side São Paulo prepare for the visit of Grêmio.
Our São Paulo v Grêmio predictions, statistics and match poll can be seen below (plus the best game odds).
📊 Form Guide

São Paulo
DWDWLD
São Paulo go into this fixture after a 1-1 Copa Libertadores drawn match vs Club Libertad.
In that match, São Paulo had 54% possession and 14 shots at goal with 3 of them on target. Club Libertad had 7 shots on goal with 1 on target.
Under three goals per match were scored during 5 of the last 6 fixtures where São Paulo have taken part. Breaking down the goal weighting from that period, opposing sides scored an aggregate of 3 while São Paulo managed the sum of 5.
Coming into this fixture, São Paulo are undefeated in their last 4 home league matches.
Grêmio
DLWDDD
In their previous fixture, Grêmio drew 1-1 in the Copa Sudamericana match with Godoy Cruz.
In that game, Grêmio managed 63% possession and 18 shots on goal with 7 of them on target. The only player on the scoresheet for Grêmio was João Pedro (6'). Godoy Cruz had 16 attempts on goal with 5 of them on target. Santino Andino (28') scored for Godoy Cruz.
For 5 of the previous six games featuring Grêmio, a comparatively low number of goals have been scored between them and opposing sides. The overall average goals scored per game in that period is a meagre 2, with the number of goals averaged by Tricolor dos Pampas equalling 1. Nonetheless, it remains to be seen if such a trend will persist here in this match or not.
Their previous form shows that Grêmio:
- haven't beaten São Paulo when having played them away from home in the previous 10 league matches. A really bad run.
- are without an away win for the past 11 league matches. It's not a good run at all.
👥 Head to head
Checking out their prior head to head meetings dating back to 15/08/2021, there is nothing to separate the two clubs with São Paulo winning 3 of those games, Grêmio 3 and 0 being draws in regulation time.
An aggregate of 16 goals were yielded between them throughout the course of those matches, with 8 of them for Tricolor Paulista and 8 coming from Tricolor dos Pampas. The average goals per game has been 2.67.
The previous league fixture featuring these clubs was Serie A match day 36 on 01/12/2024 and the score finished Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo.
On that occasion, Grêmio managed 38% possession and 16 shots at goal with 8 of them on target. Their only player on the scoresheet was Franco Cristaldo (36').
At the other end, São Paulo got 7 attempts at goal with 2 on target. Ruan Tressoldi (45' Own goal) and Luiz Gustavo (64') scored.
The match was refereed by Ramon Abatti.
📰 Team News: São Paulo
Henrique Carmo (Injury to the ankle), Igor Vinícius (Lumbar vertebra problems), Jonathan Calleri (Cruciate ligament injury), Oscar (Hamstring injury), Lucas Moura (Knee bruise) and Luiz Gustavo (Lung contusion) are unavailable for São Paulo boss Luis Zubeldía.
🗞️ Team News: Grêmio
Grêmio boss Mano Menezes has to contend with a number of unavailable players. Igor Serrote (Wrist fracture), Gustavo Martins (Knee injury), João Lucas (muscular problems), Mayk (Hamstring injury), Mathías Villasanti (Hamstring injury), Rodrigo Ely (Cruciate ligament tear), Cristian Pavón (muscular problems), Edenilson (Thigh problems) and Gustavo Cuéllar (muscular problems) are names that won’t be on the team sheet.
🔮 Prediction
We’re inclined to think that Grêmio must be fancied to find the net against this São Paulo outfit, although it might not quite prevent them from conceding a couple at the other end.
We’re tipping a very close game with a 2-1 victory for São Paulo at the end of the 90 minutes. There shouldn’t be much in it, either way.
Lucas Pereira, 23:19 17/05/2025
📊 Poll: Who Will Win?

⚽️ Team Focus:
São Paulo
Formed: 1930
Stadium: Estádio do MorumBIS (72,039)
Captain: Jonathan Calleri
Chairman: Julio Casares
Manager: Luis Zubeldía
Competitions: Serie A position 16, Copa do Brasil (Third Round), Copa Libertadores (Group D)
⭐ Star Man: Ferreira
Generally taking to the field in the Left Wing position, Ferreira was born in Dourados, Brazil. After having made a senior debut playing for Grêmio in the 2019 season, the gifted Forward has struck 3 league goals in the Série A 2025 campaign to date from a total of 8 appearances.
Grêmio |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Grêmio |
São Paulo |
|
Grêmio |
Grêmio |
|
São Paulo |
Grêmio |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Grêmio |
Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | Form |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | WWLWW |
2 |
![]() |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | WDWLW |
3 |
![]() |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | WWWWD |
4 |
![]() |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | WLWWW |
5 |
![]() |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | LDWDW |
6 |
![]() |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | WDLWL |
7 |
![]() |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | LWDWW |
8 |
![]() |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 | LWWWL |
9 |
![]() |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | DLWLW |
10 |
![]() |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 | DLLLW |
11 |
![]() |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 | LWLWL |
12 |
![]() |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | WDDLW |
13 |
![]() |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | LDDWL |
14 |
![]() |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 | LDWLL |
15 |
![]() |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 | WDDLW |
16 |
![]() |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 | LDDWD |
17 |
![]() |
8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | DWDDL |
18 |
![]() |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -13 | 7 | LDLLL |
19 |
![]() |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 5 | WLLLD |
20 |
![]() |
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 2 | LDLLL |
Bahia |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Talleres |
São Paulo |
|
Mirassol |
Náutico |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Grêmio |
São Paulo |
|
Club Libertad |
Juventude |
|
Grêmio |
Grêmio |
|
Sportivo Luqueno |
Grêmio |
|
Bahia |
Grêmio |
|
CSA |
São Paulo |
|
Grêmio |
Grêmio |
|
Godoy Cruz |
São Paulo |
|
Fortaleza |
São Paulo |
|
Santos |
São Paulo |
|
Cruzeiro |
São Paulo |
|
Sport Recife |
São Paulo |
|
Juventude |
São Paulo |
|
Atlético Mineiro |
Vitoria |
|
Grêmio |
Mirassol |
|
Grêmio |
Ceará |
|
Grêmio |
Vitoria |
|
Grêmio |
Cruzeiro |
|
Grêmio |
Palmeiras |
|
Grêmio |
Goals scored | 0.8 |
Goals conceded | 0.5 |
Time first goal scored | 31 |
Time first goal conceded | 55 |
Yellow cards | 3.5 |
Red cards | 0 |
Subs used | 4.3 |
Biggest victory | 2-1 |
Biggest defeat | null |
Goals scored | 0.7 |
Goals conceded | 2.3 |
Time first goal scored | 51 |
Time first goal conceded | 32 |
Yellow cards | 2.7 |
Red cards | 0 |
Subs used | 5 |
Biggest victory | null |
Biggest defeat | 4-1 |
André Silva | 6 |
Ferreira | 5 |
Luciano | 4 |
Alisson | 1 |
Robert Arboleda | 1 |
Martin Braithwaite | 5 |
Matías Arezo | 4 |
Cristian Olivera | 3 |
Alexander Aravena | 2 |
Edenílson | 2 |
Bahia |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Vasco da Gama |
Flamengo |
|
São Paulo |
Red Bull Bragantino |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Corinthians |
Juventude |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Fluminense |
Internacional |
|
São Paulo |
São Paulo |
|
Vitoria |
Sport Recife |
|
São Paulo |
Juventude |
|
Grêmio |
Grêmio |
|
Corinthians |
Cruzeiro |
|
Grêmio |
Alianza Lima |
|
Grêmio |
Grêmio |
|
Fortaleza |
Vasco da Gama |
|
Grêmio |
Grêmio |
|
Alianza Lima |
Grêmio |
|
Botafogo |
Palmeiras |
|
Grêmio |
Fluminense |
|
Grêmio |
