São Paulo vs Grêmio Live Stream, Predictions (May 18)

📊 Form Guide

São Paulo

WDWDWL

São Paulo will be hoping to bounce back here following a 1-0 Serie A losing effort in their last game against Palmeiras.

In that game, São Paulo managed 43% possession and 6 attempts on goal with 2 of them on target. At the other end, Palmeiras had 17 attempts on goal with 4 of them on target. Vitor Roque (95') was the scorer for Palmeiras.

Their more recent scorelines show that things are going according to plan in the São Paulo defence. São Paulo have been stingy, resulting in the total number of goals that have gone in at their end during their previous six games standing at 3. Nevertheless, time will tell whether that pattern might persist here in this match.

Coming into this fixture, São Paulo are undefeated in their last 4 home league matches.

Grêmio

DLWDDD

Previously, Grêmio drew 1-1 in the Copa Sudamericana tie with Godoy Cruz.

Over the course of 5 of the prior six clashes involving Grêmio, a comparatively low number of goals have been scored between them and their opposition. The overall average number of goals per game in that spell comes to a paltry 2, with the average goals for Tricolor dos Pampas being 1.

Their previous form shows that Grêmio:

• haven't beaten São Paulo when having played them away from home in the previous 10 league matches. A really bad run.
• are without an away win for the past 11 league matches. It's not a good run at all.

↔️ Head to head

Checking out their prior head to head meetings stretching back to 15/08/2021, there has been little between the sides with São Paulo winning 3 of those games, Grêmio 3 and 0 being drawn in regulation time.

A combined total of 16 goals were scored between them during those clashes, with 8 for Tricolor Paulista and 8 for Tricolor dos Pampas. The average goals per game has been 2.67.

The previous league game featuring the two was Serie A match day 36 on 01/12/2024 when it ended Grêmio 2-1 São Paulo.

On that day, Grêmio had 38% possession and 16 attempts on goal with 8 on target. The scorer was Franco Cristaldo (36').

São Paulo had 7 shots at goal with 2 on target. Ruan Tressoldi (45' Own goal) and Luiz Gustavo (64') scored.

The referee was Ramon Abatti.

📰 Team News: São Paulo

Henrique Carmo (Injury to the ankle), Igor Vinícius (Lumbar vertebra problems), Jonathan Calleri (Cruciate ligament injury), Oscar (Hamstring injury) and Luiz Gustavo (Lung contusion) aren’t available for São Paulo boss Luis Zubeldía.

It looks as if Tricolor Paulista will probably line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation for this one with Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, Ruan Tressoldi, Alan Franco, Enzo Díaz, Alisson, Marcos Antônio, Cedric Soares, Matheus Alves, Aldemir Ferreira and André Silva.

🗞️ Team News: Grêmio

Grêmio manager Mano Menezes has a number of players out of action. Gustavo Martins (Knee injury), Mathías Villasanti (Hamstring injury), Mayk (Hamstring injury), Cristian Pavón (muscular problems), Rodrigo Ely (Cruciate ligament tear), Edenilson (Thigh problems) and Gustavo Cuéllar (muscular problems) will miss out on this game.

We reckon that Tricolor dos Pampas seem likely to play in a 4-2-3-1 system with a starting lineup of Tiago Volpi, Igor Serrote, Jemerson, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Camilo, Dodi, Cristian Olivera, Nathan De Souza, Francis Amuzu and Martin Braithwaite.

⚡ Prediction

We’re inclined to think that Grêmio must be fancied to find the net against this São Paulo outfit, although it might not quite prevent them from conceding a couple at the other end.

We’re tipping a very close game with a 2-1 victory for São Paulo at the end of the 90 minutes. There shouldn’t be much in it, either way.

💵 ⚽️ What are the best odds for this match?

Checking out the betting prices for the game in the 90 minute result market, putting your money on São Paulo is available for 1.8, going for a drawn result is 3.6 and selecting a victory for Grêmio can be had at 4.5. They’re the best market prices that can be secured at the moment.

Lucas Pereira, 07:06 14/05/2025