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Predictions and Tips
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Prediction
👉
Under 2.5
Portsmouth will do battle with visiting opponents Derby County at Fratton Park in the Championship tie on Saturday.
Full predictions, stats & game poll for the Portsmouth v Derby County match are shown here (including the best match odds).
Full-Time Result Prediction
👉
Portsmouth to Win
📊 Form Guide
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Portsmouth
WLLWLL
Portsmouth will be looking for an improved result here after the 1-0 Championship loss in their previous game against Coventry City.
In that game, Portsmouth managed 35% possession and 10 shots at goal with 1 on target. Coventry City got 16 attempts on goal with 3 of them on target. Jamie Paterson (94') scored for Coventry City.
Over their prior six games, John Mousinho's Portsmouth have celebrated scoring 5 times resulting in an average number of goals per match of 0.83.
Ahead of this meeting, Portsmouth have not emerged victorious against Derby County in their last 9 league games.
Derby County
WWWWLD
In their last game, Derby County drew 0-0 in the Championship tie with Burnley.
In that match, Derby County had 30% possession and 9 attempts at goal with 1 on target. Burnley had 9 attempts at goal with 2 on target.
A run of steadfast showings by the Derby County defensive players has resulted in their ‘goals against’ tally standing at 4 from their previous 6 clashes combined. During the same period of time, the number of goals that they have scored themselves is 9. With no two games being the same, it remains to be seen whether that pattern might be sustained in this game.
Leading up to this clash, Derby County:
- have not beaten Portsmouth in games played away from home for the previous 2 league matches.
- have not lost to Portsmouth in away games against them for the last 4 matches in the league. Travelling fans have really enjoyed these clashes.
🤜🤛 Head to head
If we look at their past head to head meetings going back to 12/08/2015, neither club has come out on top overall with Portsmouth winning 1 of those games, Derby County 1 and 4 being drawn after 90 minutes of play.
A sum of 15 goals were produced between them throughout the course of those matches, with 6 of them from Pompey and 9 coming from The Rams. The average number of goals per game works out to 2.5.
The last league contest between these sides was Championship match day 21 on 13/12/2024 when it ended Derby County 4-0 Portsmouth.
In that game, Derby County managed 50% possession and 17 shots at goal with 7 on target. The scorers were Kane Wilson (8'), Eiran Cashin (23') and Ebou Adams (29').
Portsmouth had 3 attempts on goal with 0 of them on target. Marlon Pack (65' Own goal) scored.
The referee was Oliver Langford.
ℹ️ Team News: Portsmouth
Nearly everyone is up for selection, with just the sole fitness concern for the Portsmouth boss John Mousinho to contend with from a near full-strength squad. Ibane Bowat (Patellar tendon rupture) misses out.
🗞️ Team News: Derby County
Derby County manager John Eustace has not got a full squad to pick from. Curtis Nelson (Torn knee ligaments), Dajaune Brown (Hamstring injury), Joe Ward (Knee surgery), Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Cruciate ligament tear), Corey Blackett-Taylor (Hamstring injury), Ben Osborn (Hamstring injury), Kemar Roofe (Hamstring injury) and David Ozoh (Torn thigh muscle) are not ready for selection.
🧠 Prediction
We’re of the opinion that Derby County will need to put in a solid display to find the net against this Portsmouth team who will likely gain the upper hand.
Our tip is therefore for a good tussle with a 1-0 win for Portsmouth at full-time.
Let’s see.
Peter Guest, 13:03 12/04/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
📊 Poll: Who Will Win?
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Correct Score Prediction
👉
1-0
🏟️ Team Focus:
Portsmouth
Formed: 1898
Stadium: Fratton Park (20,899)
Captain: Marlon Pack
Chairman: Michael Eisner
Manager: John Mousinho
Competitions: Championship position 17
⭐ Star Man: Josh Murphy
Usually taking up the Left Wing position, Josh Murphy was born in Wembley, England. Having made his senior debut playing for Norwich City in the 2013 - 2014 season, the gifted Forward has scored 7 league goals in the Championship 2024 - 2025 campaign to date in a total of 36 appearances.
| Derby County |
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Portsmouth |
| Portsmouth |
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Derby County |
| Derby County |
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Portsmouth |
| Derby County |
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Portsmouth |
| Portsmouth |
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Derby County |
| Portsmouth |
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Derby County |
| Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 53 | 88 | DDDWW |
| 2 |
|
42 | 24 | 16 | 2 | 44 | 88 | WWWDW |
| 3 |
|
42 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 83 | WWLLL |
| 4 |
|
41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 76 | DLWWD |
| 5 |
|
41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 63 | DWLWW |
| 6 |
|
41 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 62 | LWLLW |
| 7 |
|
41 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 60 | WDWWL |
| 8 |
|
41 | 13 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 57 | DDLLL |
| 9 |
|
41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | -1 | 57 | LWLWW |
| 10 |
|
41 | 16 | 8 | 17 | -4 | 56 | WLDLW |
| 11 |
|
42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 53 | LWLDL |
| 12 |
|
41 | 15 | 8 | 18 | -1 | 53 | LLLLD |
| 13 |
|
41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | -7 | 53 | WLDLD |
| 14 |
|
41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | -7 | 51 | LLDWW |
| 15 |
|
41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | -6 | 49 | LDLDW |
| 16 |
|
42 | 10 | 19 | 13 | -8 | 49 | WLDDL |
| 17 |
|
41 | 12 | 9 | 20 | -16 | 45 | LLWLL |
| 18 |
|
41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | -18 | 45 | LWLWL |
| 19 |
|
41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | -9 | 44 | WDLWL |
| 20 |
|
41 | 10 | 14 | 17 | -12 | 44 | WLWDD |
| 21 |
|
41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | -10 | 42 | WWWLD |
| 22 |
|
41 | 9 | 15 | 17 | -20 | 42 | LWDDD |
| 23 |
|
41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | -25 | 40 | WDWDD |
| 24 |
|
42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -38 | 40 | LDWLW |
| Norwich City |
|
Portsmouth |
| Portsmouth |
|
Derby County |
| Coventry City |
|
Portsmouth |
| Millwall |
|
Portsmouth |
| Portsmouth |
|
Blackburn Rovers |
| Preston North End |
|
Portsmouth |
| Derby County |
|
Luton Town |
| Portsmouth |
|
Derby County |
| Derby County |
|
Burnley |
| Swansea City |
|
Derby County |
| Derby County |
|
Preston North End |
| Plymouth Argyle |
|
Derby County |
| Portsmouth |
|
Blackburn Rovers |
| Portsmouth |
|
Plymouth Argyle |
| Portsmouth |
|
Leeds United |
| Portsmouth |
|
QPR |
| Portsmouth |
|
Cardiff City |
| Portsmouth |
|
Burnley |
| Swansea City |
|
Derby County |
| Plymouth Argyle |
|
Derby County |
| Middlesbrough |
|
Derby County |
| QPR |
|
Derby County |
| Norwich City |
|
Derby County |
| Cardiff City |
|
Derby County |
| Goals scored | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| Time first goal scored | 41 |
| Time first goal conceded | 37 |
| Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| Red cards | 0 |
| Subs used | 3.8 |
| Biggest victory | 4-0 |
| Biggest defeat | 3-0 |
| Goals scored | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| Time first goal scored | 51 |
| Time first goal conceded | 45 |
| Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| Red cards | 0 |
| Subs used | 4.6 |
| Biggest victory | 3-2 |
| Biggest defeat | 4-0 |
| Colby Bishop | 10 |
| Callum Lang | 10 |
| Josh Murphy | 7 |
| Matt Ritchie | 5 |
| Connor Ogilvie | 4 |
| Jerry Yates | 9 |
| Ebou Adams | 5 |
| Marcus Harness | 4 |
| Craig Forsyth | 3 |
| Kayden Jackson | 3 |
| Portsmouth |
|
Watford |
| Sheffield Wednesday |
|
Portsmouth |
| Portsmouth |
|
Hull City |
| West Bromwich Albion |
|
Derby County |
| Hull City |
|
Derby County |
| Derby County |
|
Stoke City |
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