The Bundesliga clash at The MEWA Arena on Saturday will see home side Mainz facing opposition in the form of VfL Wolfsburg.
For all of our match predictions, pre-game poll and statistics for Mainz v VfL Wolfsburg, scroll down (inc. the best betting odds).
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Form Guide
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Mainz
WWDLDL ⚖
Mainz will be looking to improve on their last outing here after the 2-0 Bundesliga loss in their previous game against Hoffenheim.
In that match, Mainz managed 64% possession and 14 attempts at goal with 1 of them on target. At the other end, 1899 Hoffenheim had 8 attempts on goal with 5 of them on target. Andrej Kramarić (4', 32') scored for Hoffenheim.
Mainz have been conceding pretty frequently of late, although they have also done enough to score goals themselves. Looking at their last 6 games, Mainz have been punished defensively in 6 of them as well as getting on the scoresheet in 5 of those games. Such a trend won’t necessarily be continued into this next game, however.
Analysis of their past results shows that Mainz:
- have not been beaten in their last 10 league matches at home. It's been impressive.
- have not won at home in their last 2 matches in the league.
VfL Wolfsburg
WDLLLL 📉
After suffering a loss in their previous game against RB Leipzig in Bundesliga action, VfL Wolfsburg will be hoping to turn things around here.
In that game, VfL Wolfsburg had 47% possession and 17 shots on goal with 6 on target. For VfL Wolfsburg, the goals were scored by Kilian Fischer (58') and Andreas Skov Olsen (75'). For their opponents, RB Leipzig had 16 shots on goal with 5 on target. Loïs Openda (11') and Xavi Simons (26', 49') scored for RB Leipzig.
The stats don’t lie, and VfL Wolfsburg have been scored against in 6 of their last 6 matches, conceding 8 goals in total. In defence, VfL Wolfsburg certainly have room for improvement.
Their past results show that VfL Wolfsburg:
- have not been beaten by Mainz when they have played them away from home in the previous 2 league matches.
- are without an away win for the past 2 league games.
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Head to head
Looking over their prior head to head meetings stretching back to 22/04/2022 shows us that Mainz have won 1 of these and VfL Wolfsburg 4, with the tally of drawn games standing at 1.
A lot of goals were also scored during this period, 24 in all at an average of 4 goals per meeting.
The last league contest between the two was Bundesliga match day 13 on 08/12/2024 when the final score was VfL Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz.
In that match, VfL Wolfsburg had 45% possession and 10 attempts at goal with 5 of them on target. The goalscorers were Mohamed Amoura (19'), Tiago Tomás (57') and Jonas Wind (83', 94').
For their opponents, Mainz got 12 shots on goal with 5 on target. Paul Nebel (11', 66') and Jonathan Burkardt (39') scored.
The match was refereed by Timo Gerach.
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Team News: Mainz
Maxim Dal (unknown injury) and Stefan Bell (Hamstring injury) are not available for Mainz boss Bo Henriksen.
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Team News: VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg boss Ralph Hasenhüttl has to contend with a number of unavailable players. Lovro Majer (Torn muscle fiber), Mathys Angély (Torn muscle fiber), Konstantinos Koulierakis (Hamstring injury), Bartosz Bialek (Knee injury), Rogério (Fitness), Mattias Svanberg (Knee problems), Sebastiaan Bornauw (Foot injury) and Denis Vavro (Muscle injury) won’t be making appearances.
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Prediction
We feel that VfL Wolfsburg must be fancied to breach the defence of this Mainz side, however that isn’t expected to prevent them from conceding a couple at the other end.
Our selection here is for a narrow 2-1 winning margin for Mainz after the 90. Could easily see this go either way.
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⚽️ What are the top odds for this match?
Turning to the betting odds on the WDW market, the win for Mainz is best priced at 2, a wager on the game finishing all-square is 3.6 & putting your money on the winning team to be VfL Wolfsburg gets you 3.5. They’re the top returns being offered at this very moment.
Peter Guest,
04:05 16/04/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
🏟️ Team Focus:
Mainz
Formed: 1905
Stadium: The MEWA Arena (33,305)
Captain: Silvan Widmer
Chairman: Stefan Hofmann
Manager: Bo Henriksen
Competitions: Bundesliga position 5
🔑 Star Player: Jonathan Burkardt
Typically taking up the Striker position, Jonathan Burkardt was born in Germany. Having played his first senior match for Mainz in the 2018 - 2019 season, the goalscoring Forward has accumulated 15 league goals in the Bundesliga 2024 - 2025 campaign to date in 24 appearances.