📏 Form Guide

Mainz

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Mainz will be hoping for a better result following the 2-0 Bundesliga loss in their previous game against Hoffenheim.

In that game, Mainz had 64% possession and 14 attempts at goal with 1 on target. For their opponents, 1899 Hoffenheim had 8 shots at goal with 5 of them on target. Andrej Kramarić (4', 32') was the scorer for Hoffenheim.

Mainz have been conceding pretty frequently of late, although they have also done enough to score goals themselves. Looking at their last 6 games, Mainz have been punished defensively in 6 of them as well as getting on the scoresheet in 5 of those games. Such a trend won’t necessarily be continued into this next game, however.

Analysis of their past results shows that Mainz:

• have not been beaten in their last 10 league matches at home. It's been impressive.
• have not won at home in their last 2 matches in the league.

VfL Wolfsburg

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Since a loss in their previous game against RB Leipzig in Bundesliga competition, VfL Wolfsburg and their travelling fans will hope for a better result here.

In that match, VfL Wolfsburg managed 47% possession and 17 shots at goal with 6 of them on target. For VfL Wolfsburg, the goals were scored by Kilian Fischer (58') and Andreas Skov Olsen (75'). At the other end, RB Leipzig got 16 shots at goal with 5 on target. Loïs Openda (11') and Xavi Simons (26', 49') scored for RB Leipzig.

The stats don’t lie, and VfL Wolfsburg have been scored against in 6 of their last 6 matches, conceding 8 goals in total. In defence, VfL Wolfsburg certainly have room for improvement.

Their past results show that VfL Wolfsburg:

• have not been beaten by Mainz when they have played them away from home in the previous 2 league matches.
• are without an away win for the past 2 league games.

🤜🤛 Head to head

An examination of their most recent head to head meetings stretching back to 22/04/2022 shows us that Mainz have won 1 of these games & VfL Wolfsburg 4, with the tally of draws standing at 1.

There were also plenty of goals scored in those games, 24 in all at an average of 4 goals per meeting.

The previous league meeting featuring these clubs was Bundesliga match day 13 on 08/12/2024 and the score finished VfL Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz.

In that game, VfL Wolfsburg managed 45% possession and 10 shots at goal with 5 of them on target. The scorers were Mohamed Amoura (19'), Tiago Tomás (57') and Jonas Wind (83', 94').

Mainz had 12 attempts at goal with 5 of them on target. Paul Nebel (11', 66') and Jonathan Burkardt (39') scored.

The referee was Timo Gerach.

📋 Team News: Mainz

Stefan Bell (Hamstring injury) and Maxim Dal (unknown injury) will be missing for Mainz gaffer Bo Henriksen.

In all likelihood, Mainz look set to go for a 4-4-2 formation for the game with Robin Zentner, Danny da Costa, Moritz Jenz, Dominik Kohr, Nikolas Veratschnig, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Anthony Caci, Nelson Weiper, Jae-Sung Lee and Jonathan Burkardt.

🗞️ Team News: VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg manager Ralph Hasenhüttl has to choose a team with limited availability. Mattias Svanberg (Knee problems), Mathys Angély (Torn muscle fiber), Bartosz Bialek (Knee injury), Rogério (Fitness), Lovro Majer (Torn muscle fiber) and Sebastiaan Bornauw (Foot injury) will miss out on this game.

We’re of the thinking that Wolfsburg appear most likely to utilise a 4-3-3 formation using Kamil Grabara, Kilian Fischer, Denis Vavro, K. Koulierakis, Joakim Maehle, Bence Dardai, Maximilian Arnold, Patrick Wimmer, Tiago Tomas, Jonas Wind and Mohamed Amoura.

💡 Prediction

We feel that VfL Wolfsburg must be fancied to breach the defence of this Mainz side, however that isn’t expected to prevent them from conceding a couple at the other end.

Our selection here is for a narrow 2-1 winning margin for Mainz after the 90. Could easily see this go either way.

Peter Guest, 13:03 19/04/2025