Porto vs Nacional Live Stream, Predictions (May 17)

📏 Form Guide

Porto

LWWLWW

Porto will be looking for another win after a 1-2 Primeira Liga triumph vs Boavista.

In that game, Porto managed 59% possession and 16 attempts on goal with 7 on target. For Porto, the scorers were Rodrigo Mora (20') and Iván Marcano (25'). Boavista had 9 shots at goal with 4 of them on target. Miguel Reisinho (34') scored for Boavista.

It has been a rare occasion in recent games that Porto have kept a clean sheet. The facts show that Porto have been scored against in 5 of their previous 6 matches, leaking 9 goals in the process.

Ahead of this meeting, Porto are unbeaten in their previous 2 league matches at home.

Nacional

LWLDLD

Last time out, Nacional drew 3-3 in the Primeira Liga tie with Rio Ave.

In that game, Nacional had 55% possession and 11 attempts on goal with 4 on target. For Nacional, the scorers were André Sousa (46') and Léo Santos (90'). On the other side, Rio Ave got 13 shots on goal with 7 of them on target. Ege Tıknaz (3', 43'), Theofanis Bakoulas (28') and Konstantinos Kostoulas (94' Own goal) scored for Rio Ave.

The stats don’t lie, and Nacional have been scored against in 5 of their last 6 games, seeing their opponents hit 10 goals in total. At the back, Nacional have not been doing too well. In any event, we must now wait to see if that trend will be sustained in this next match.

Looking at their past form shows that Nacional:

• have left without a victory over Porto in games played away from home for the previous 11 league games. A very poor set of away results, indeed.
• are undefeated in their last 2 league matches away from home.

👥 Head to head

Inspecting their most recent head-to-head meetings dating back to 04/03/2017 shows that Porto have won 5 of these games and Nacional 1, with the tally of drawn games being 0.

In all, 20 goals were shared by the two clubs during those clashes, with 17 of them for Dragões and 3 coming from Os Alvinegros. This gives an average number of goals per game equal to 3.33.

The previous league clash featuring the two was Primeira Liga match day 17 on 12/01/2025 when it finished Nacional 2-0 Porto.

That day, Nacional had 40% possession and 2 shots at goal with 0 on target. Goals were scored by Dudu Teodora (17') and Zé Vitor (44').

For their opponents, Porto got 10 attempts at goal with 3 of them on target.

The match was refereed by Tiago Martins.

📋 Team News: Porto

Vasco Sousa (Broken fibula) and Marko Grujić (Heel injury) aren’t available for Porto gaffer Martín Anselmi.

We think that Dragões look set to use a 3-4-3 system, handing starts to Diogo Costa, Zé Pedro, Martim Fernandes, Ivan Marcano, João Mário, Alan Varela, Stephen Eustáquio, Francisco Moura, Fábio Vieira, Samu Omorodion and Rodrigo Mora.

📰 Team News: Nacional

Thanks to a mainly healthy group of players, there’s only a single fitness issue for the Nacional gaffer Tiago Margarido to contend with. Miguel Baeza (unknown injury) misses out for this game.

We reckon that Os Alvinegros might elect for a 3-4-3 lineup by sending out Rui Encarnação, Léo Santos, Djibril Soumaré, Zé Vítor, Joao Aurelio, Daniel Penha, Chiheb Labidi, Paulinho Bóia, Arvin Appiah, Joel Tagueu and Fuki Yamada.

⚡ Prediction

For this match, we think that Porto have it within them to be able to create a high number of chances and successful shots on target.

Conversely, Nacional could well struggle to get shooting opportunities but we can see them converting at least once here.

We’re tipping a decent 3-1 victory for Porto by the time that the referee blows the final whistle.

📖 ⚽️ What are the top odds for the game?

Regarding the current betting odds on the 90 min. result market, victory for Porto can be had for 1.3, going for the draw is 5.25 & putting your money on the win for Nacional is 9.5. These are the top returns being offered at the current time.

Renata Leite, 20:04 15/05/2025