The Serie A tie at Arena MRV on Tuesday sees home side Atlético Mineiro welcome Bahia.
View all of the Atlético Mineiro v Bahia predictions, poll and stats below - plus the latest betting odds.
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Form Guide
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Atlético Mineiro
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Atlético Mineiro, following on from their previous result, will be hoping for more of the same after a 0-1 Serie A victory vs Vasco da Gama.
In that match, Atlético Mineiro had 40% possession and 10 shots on goal with 4 on target. The scorer for Atlético Mineiro was Hugo (32'). Vasco da Gama had 25 shots on goal with 8 of them on target.
Their latest results really do illustrate the point that much solidity has been shown by the Atlético Mineiro backline. Atlético Mineiro have given the opposition little, seeing the tally of goals that have gone past their goalkeeper during their previous 6 games standing at 4. Nonetheless, it remains to be seen if the trend might persist in this match.
Going into this contest, Atlético Mineiro have not been beaten in their last 2 home league matches.
Bahia
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Bahia go into this game following on from a 2-1 Serie A win versus Botafogo in their last match.
In that game, Bahia had 69% possession and 24 attempts on goal with 9 of them on target. The scorer for Bahia was Duarte (92'). On the other side, Botafogo got 13 attempts on goal with 6 of them on target. Huguinho (7') and Nahuel Ferraresi (57' Own goal) scored for Botafogo.
In their previous 6 clashes, Bahia have amassed a tally of 9 goals. Bahia have also managed to score in every single one of those games. In that time, they have had 11 goals go into their own net.
Their previous form shows that Bahia:
- have not beaten Atlético Mineiro when they have played them away from home in the previous 5 league games. Not good at all.
- haven’t won away from home in the past 3 league games.
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Head to head
Checking on their past head-to-head clashes stretching back to 13/08/2023 shows us that Atlético Mineiro have won 2 of these & Bahia 3, with the number of drawn results being 1.
A sum of 17 goals were scored between them throughout the course of those matches, with 7 for Galo and 10 netted by Tricolor de Aço. That is an average goals per game value of 2.83.
The previous league encounter between these clubs was Serie A match day 32 on 05/11/2025 when the final score was Atlético Mineiro 3-0 Bahia.
That time, Atlético Mineiro had 60% possession and 23 shots at goal with 7 of them on target. Goals were scored by Hulk (66'), Gomes (75') and Biel (77').
At the other end, Bahia got 11 attempts at goal with 4 on target.
The match was refereed by Denis da Silva Ribeiro.
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Team News: Atlético Mineiro
Índio (Torn knee ligaments), Patrick (Cruciate ligament surgery) and Gustavo Scarpa (Inflammation of ligaments in the knee) will not be taking part for Atlético Mineiro manager Eduardo Domínguez. Iván Román cannot play in this game through suspension.
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Prediction
Here is a game where Bahia could find themselves struggling to break down this Atlético Mineiro lineup who we think will manage to get a goal of their own in a winning performance.
We therefore see a narrow 1-0 advantage for Atlético Mineiro when the referee blows for full-time.
Hopefully it’s a good one.
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⚽️ What are the best odds for this match?
Regarding the latest bookmaker odds in the win-draw-win market, victory for Atlético Mineiro can be had for 2.05, backing a drawn result is 3.3 & putting your money on the winning team to be Bahia gets 3.6. They’re the most competitive bets being offered as of now.
Victor Martins,
01:02 17/07/2026
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
⚽️ Team Focus:
Atlético Mineiro
Formed: 1908
Stadium: Arena MRV (46,000)
Captain: Givanildo Hulk
Chairman: Sérgio Coelho
Manager: Eduardo Domínguez
Competitions: Serie A position 9, Copa do Brasil (Round of 16), Copa Sudamericana (Round of 16)
⭐ Key Player: Dudu
Generally playing in the Left Wing position, Dudu was born in Goiânia, Brazil. Having played his first senior match for Cruzeiro in the 2009 season, the dangerous Forward has got 2 league goals in the Série A 2026 season so far coming from a total of 12 appearances.