📊 Form Guide

Freiburg

WLLWLW

Freiburg, following on from their previous result, will be hoping for more of the same after the 0-1 Bundesliga 1 triumph against Darmstadt.

In that match, Freiburg had 47% possession and 9 attempts on goal with 3 on target. The scorer for Freiburg was Ritsu Doan (36'). Darmstadt 98 had 17 attempts at goal with 5 on target.

Matches with Freiburg have proved to be engaging affairs recently with high scoring being the norm. Over their past 6 clashes alone, the sum total of 22 goals have been scored for both sides combined (at an average of 3.67 goals per game) with 9 of these accredited to Freiburg. Such a pattern isn’t assured to be carried forward into this match, of course.

Analysis of their past results shows that Freiburg:

• have not lost a league tie with Mainz in their last 5 matches.
• have not won at home in their last 5 matches in the league. Their supporters are understandably frustrated.

Mainz

DLWDWW

Mainz will come into the encounter following on from a 4-1 Bundesliga 1 win with the downing of Hoffenheim in their last outing.

In that match, Mainz managed 47% possession and 25 shots on goal with 8 of them on target. For Mainz, the goals were scored by Jonathan Burkardt (47'), Philipp Mwene (51'), Brajan Gruda (63') and Karim Onisiwo (88'). On the other side, 1899 Hoffenheim had 5 attempts at goal with 1 on target. Pavel Kadeřábek (19') was the scorer for Hoffenheim.

Illustrating their partiality to high-scoring encounters, goals have been seen as many as 22 times in the prior six matches in which Mainz have taken to the pitch, yielding a mean average of 3.67 goals per meeting. Opposing teams have managed 10 of those goals.

Going into this game, the form guide shows that Mainz:

• have not emerged victorious against Freiburg in away games against them for the last 2 matches in the league.
• are without a win away from home in their last 18 league matches. They must be getting so desperate.

👥 Head to head

Inspecting their prior head to head meetings stretching back to 13/03/2021 shows us that Freiburg have won 2 of these games and Mainz 1, with the tally of drawn results standing at 3.

In all, 9 goals were produced between them during those clashes, with 5 of them from Freiburg and 4 created by Mainz. That is an average goals per game value of 1.5.

The last league game between these sides was Bundesliga 1 match day 13 on 03/12/2023 when it finished Mainz 0-1 Freiburg.

That time, Mainz had 61% possession and 20 shots on goal with 5 on target.

On the other side, Freiburg got 13 shots on goal with 5 of them on target. Michael Gregoritsch (69') scored.

The referee was Tobias Stieler.

📋 Team News: Freiburg

Kenneth Schmidt (Injury to abdominal muscles), Philipp Lienhart (unknown injury), Daniel-Kofi Kyereh (Cruciate ligament tear) and Matthias Ginter (Achilles tendon surgery) will not be taking part for Freiburg boss Christian Streich. Roland Sallai will not be able to play in this game through being suspended.

In all likelihood, Freiburg should employ a 3-4-2-1 system for this game with Noah Atubolu, Lukas Kuebler, Yannik Keitel, Manuel Gulde, Ritsu Doan, Christian Guenter, Maximilian Eggestein, Nicolas Hoefler, Merlin Roehl, Vincenzo Grifo and Michael Gregoritsch.

ℹ️ Team News: Mainz

Mainz boss Bo Henriksen has to choose from a squad that has some fitness concerns. Jessic Ngankam (Torn muscle fiber) and Stefan Bell (infection) are not able to play.

From our viewpoint, Mainz appear most likely to utilise a 3-4-2-1 lineup using Robin Zentner, Dominik Kohr, Sepp van den Berg, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Anthony Caci, Philipp Mwene, Leandro Barreiro, Nadiem Amiri, Brajan Gruda, Jae-Sung Lee and Jonathan Burkardt.

⚡ Prediction

We feel that Mainz and Freiburg could both well score here although it’s hard to see a clear-cut winner.

We’ll see, but this looks like it could end up all-square. We’re therefore seeing a hard-fought score draw at the end of the 90.

Our expert partners are tipping under 3.5 goals for this match. Check out their VIP predictions here.

Peter Guest, 17:04 21/04/2024