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Universidad Nacional head to The Estadio Nemesio Díez on Wednesday for the Liga MX (Apertura) showdown with hosts Toluca.
All Toluca v Universidad Nacional game predictions, stats and user poll are shown below (including the best match odds).
Toluca prepare for this match following on from a 1-1 CONCACAF Champions League stalemate vs Tigres de la UANL.
The only player to score from Toluca was Jorge Díaz (104'). Joaquim (114') scored for Tigres de la UANL. Toluca won the match 6-5 in a dramatic penalty shootout.
It has been a rare occasion in recent times that Toluca haven’t conceded. It will be a concern for them that Toluca have seen their defence breached in 5 of their previous 6 matches, giving up 7 goals during that time.
Following on from a loss in their previous game against Cruz Azul in Primera (Clausura) Liguilla competition, Universidad Nacional will be aiming to make amends here.
In that game, Universidad Nacional had 47% possession and 12 shots on goal with 3 on target. For Universidad Nacional, goals were scored by Robert Morales (31') and Duarte (54' Own goal). At the other end, Cruz Azul got 18 attempts at goal with 6 on target. Carlos Rotondi (95') was the scorer for Cruz Azul.
Throughout their 6 previous matches, Esteban Solari's Universidad Nacional have found the net 8 times therefore yielding them a goals scored per game average of 1.33.
An examination of their past head-to-head meetings stretching back to 19/08/2023 shows us that Toluca have won 2 of them and Universidad Nacional 0, with the tally of drawn games standing at 4.
A total of 16 goals were scored between the two sides in this period, with 10 for Los Diablos Rojos and 6 belonging to Pumas. The average number of goals per game works out to 2.67.
The previous league contest featuring these clubs was Liga MX (Clausura) match day 9 on 04/03/2026 when it ended Universidad Nacional 2-3 Toluca.
In that match, Universidad Nacional managed 39% possession and 13 attempts on goal with 7 on target. Goals were scored by Robert Morales (29') and Álvaro Angulo (63').
For their opponents, Toluca got 23 shots at goal with 8 of them on target. Jesús Angulo (37'), Diego Barbosa (73') and Paulinho (79') scored.
The match was refereed by Marco Antonio Ortiz.
There aren’t many personnel worries, with just one fitness concern for the Toluca gaffer Antonio Mohamed to contend with thanks to an almost full-strength group of players. Marcel Ruiz (Cruciate ligament tear) is out of contention.
It’s looking like Universidad Nacional will surely find it tough to be getting goals against a Toluca side who have all the attributes to win well here.
We can see a commanding 3-0 margin for Toluca when the full-time whistle blows.
Looking at the bookies’ prices in the win-draw-win market, the win for Toluca is available for 1.66, going for a drawn result is 3.9 and betting on the winner to be Universidad Nacional gets you 4.5. They’re the most competitive returns available at present.
Renata Leite, 00:02 18/07/2026
⚽️ Team Focus:
Toluca
Formed: 1917
Stadium: The Estadio Nemesio Díez (31,000)
Captain: Alexis Vega
Chairman: Francisco Suinaga
Manager: Antonio Mohamed
🔑 Star Player: Paulinho
Normally deployed in the Striker position, Paulinho was born in Barcelos, Portugal. After making a first senior appearance for Gil Vicente in the 2013 - 2014 season, the gifted Forward has netted 6 league goals in this Liga MX (Clausura) 2025 - 2026 season so far in a total of 13 appearances.
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Toluca |
| Toluca |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Toluca |
| Toluca |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Toluca |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Toluca |
| Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | +/- | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | DLLWW |
| 2 |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | DWWDW |
| 3 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWDWL |
| 4 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 5 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WWLLL |
| 6 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDWWL |
| 7 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DLDWL |
| 8 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WLWWW |
| 9 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 10 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DWLDL |
| 11 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DLDLL |
| 12 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WLDLW |
| 13 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | DLDWW |
| 14 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | LWLWW |
| 15 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDWLW |
| 16 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WDDDW |
| 17 |
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 18 |
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | WWDWL |
| Toluca |
|
Tigres |
| Pachuca |
|
Toluca |
| Toluca |
|
Los Angeles FC |
| Toluca |
|
Pachuca |
| Los Angeles FC |
|
Toluca |
| Toluca |
|
León |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Cruz Azul |
| Cruz Azul |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Pachuca |
| Pachuca |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Club América |
| Club América |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Toluca |
|
León |
| Toluca |
|
Atlético San Luis |
| Toluca |
|
Atlas |
| Toluca |
|
FC Juárez |
| Toluca |
|
CD Guadalajara |
| Toluca |
|
Club Tijuana |
| Pachuca |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Atlético San Luis |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| CD Guadalajara |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Necaxa |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Club Tijuana |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Puebla |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Paulinho | 29 |
| Helinho | 11 |
| Jesús Angulo | 10 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 8 |
| Nicolás Castro | 6 |
| Robert Morales | 10 |
| Guillermo Martínez | 9 |
| Juninho | 8 |
| Álvaro Angulo | 6 |
| Jordan Carrillo | 6 |
| CD Guadalajara |
|
Toluca |
| Toluca |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Toluca |
|
Necaxa |
| Atlante |
|
Toluca |
| Querétaro FC |
|
Toluca |
| Toluca |
|
FC Juárez |
| Puebla |
|
Toluca |
| Toluca |
|
Atlas |
| Toluca |
|
Santos Laguna |
| Cruz Azul |
|
Toluca |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Pachuca |
| Toluca |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| FC Juárez |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Querétaro FC |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Necaxa |
| Club Tijuana |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
León |
| CD Guadalajara |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Atlas |
|
Universidad Nacional |
| Universidad Nacional |
|
Atlético San Luis |
While we have made these predictions for Toluca v Universidad Nacional for this match preview with the best of intentions, no profits are guaranteed. Always gamble responsibly, and with what you can afford to lose. Best of luck.
You can see all of our upcoming (and previous) Liga MX (Apertura) predictions & previews here.
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