This massive Primera (Clausura) Liguilla quarter-final clash between Toluca and Monterrey is kicking off on Sunday. Needless to say that, with a spot in the semi finals at stake, it’s shaping up to be a thrilling encounter between these two teams.
View all of the Toluca v Monterrey predictions, poll and stats below (plus the best game odds).
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Form Guide
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Toluca
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Toluca will be hoping to bounce back here following a 3-2 Primera (Clausura) Liguilla defeat in their last game at the hands of Monterrey.
In that match, Toluca had 46% possession and 5 shots at goal with 2 of them on target. The scorer for Toluca was Luan (82'). On the other side, Monterrey got 11 shots on goal with 7 of them on target. Víctor Guzmán (16' Own goal), Nelson Deossa (44'), Sergio Canales (50') and Germán Berterame (69') scored for Monterrey.
Fixtures involving Toluca have tended to be engaging affairs recently with a lot of goalmouth action being a real hallmark. Over their past six clashes, the sum total of 23 goals have gone in for both sides combined (at an average of 3.83 goals per game) with 13 of those belonging to Toluca. Historical results aside, we must now wait to see whether the trend shall be maintained here in this match or not.
Monterrey
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In their previous half-dozen outings, Monterrey have bagged a total of 10 goals. Monterrey have additionally got on the scoresheet in every single one of those games. Over that period, they have had 6 goals scored by their opponents.
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Head to head
Looking at the statistics for their head to head meetings going back to 06/02/2023, there has been little to separate the clubs with Toluca winning 2 of those games, Monterrey 2 and 2 being draws after 90 minutes of play.
A combined sum of 14 goals were scored between the two sides in this period, with 7 of them for Los Diablos Rojos and 7 created by Los Rayados. The average number of goals per game works out to 2.33.
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Team News: Monterrey
Due to a mostly available group, there’s just a single fitness issue for the Monterrey gaffer Martín Demichelis to contend with. Carlos Salcedo (Cruciate ligament tear) won’t be in action.
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Prediction
We’re inclined to think that Monterrey will have their work cut out to register a score against this Toluca lineup who we think might well end up scoring and staying ahead.
With that in mind, we reckon that it will be a very even contest with a 1-0 winning margin for Toluca after 90 minutes.
There should be little in it.
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⚽️ What are the top odds for this match?
Looking at what the bookmakers’ view is of this game in the win-draw-win market, staking on Toluca is best priced at 1.8, backing the draw is 3.7 & putting your money on victory for Monterrey gets 4.2. They are the best of the market prices offered at this very moment.
Renata Leite,
18:00 09/05/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
🏟️ Team Focus:
Toluca
Formed: 1917
Stadium: The Estadio Nemesio Díez (31,000)
Captain: Alexis Vega
Chairman: Arturo Pérez Arredondo
Manager: Antonio Mohamed
Competitions: Liga MX (Clausura) position 1, Liga MX (Apertura) position 2, Primera (Clausura) Liguilla (Quarter-Finals)
🔑 Key Player: Paulinho
Generally deployed in the Striker position, Paulinho was born in Barcelos, Portugal. Having made a first senior appearance for Gil Vicente in the 2013 - 2014 season, the dangerous Forward has managed 12 league goals in the Liga MX (Clausura) 2024 - 2025 season to date from a total of 15 appearances.