The huge Primera (Clausura) Liguilla quarter-final match between Toluca and Monterrey takes place on Sunday. It goes without saying that spot in the semi-final for the victors, we look set for a great game.
Full predictions, pre-match stats and user poll for Toluca v Monterrey are shown on this page - as well as up-to-date odds.
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Form Guide
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Toluca
WWWWDL
Toluca will be wanting a better result here after the 3-2 Primera (Clausura) Liguilla losing effort in their last game against Monterrey.
In that match, Toluca managed 46% possession and 5 shots on goal with 2 of them on target. The only player to score for Toluca was Luan (82'). Monterrey had 11 shots on goal with 7 on target. Víctor Guzmán (16' Own goal), Nelson Deossa (44'), Sergio Canales (50') and Germán Berterame (69') scored for Monterrey.
Fixtures involving Toluca have tended to be engaging affairs recently with a lot of goalmouth action being a real hallmark. Over their past six clashes, the sum total of 23 goals have gone in for both sides combined (at an average of 3.83 goals per game) with 13 of those belonging to Toluca. Historical results aside, we must now wait to see whether the trend shall be maintained here in this match or not.
Monterrey
LWWLWW
In their previous half-dozen outings, Monterrey have bagged a total of 10 goals. Monterrey have additionally got on the scoresheet in every single one of those games. Over that period, they have had 6 goals scored by their opponents.
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Head to head
Checking out their prior head to head meetings going back to 06/02/2023, it’s been all-even between these two clubs with Toluca winning 2 of those games, Monterrey 2 and 2 being draws after 90 minutes of play.
In all, 14 goals were scored between the two sides throughout the course of those matches, with 7 from Los Diablos Rojos and 7 coming from Los Rayados. That’s an average goals per game figure of 2.33.
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Team News: Monterrey
From a largely full-strength squad, there’s just the one fitness worry for the Monterrey boss Martín Demichelis to contend with. Carlos Salcedo (Cruciate ligament tear) won’t be in action.
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Prediction
We’re inclined to think that Monterrey will have their work cut out to register a score against this Toluca lineup who we think might well end up scoring and staying ahead.
With that in mind, we reckon that it will be a very even contest with a 1-0 winning margin for Toluca after 90 minutes.
There should be little in it.
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⚽️ What are the top odds for this match?
Looking at what the bookmakers’ view is of this game in the win-draw-win market, staking on Toluca is best priced at 1.83, backing the draw is 3.6 & putting your money on victory for Monterrey gets 4.1. They are the best of the market prices offered at this very moment.
Renata Leite,
12:00 09/05/2025
Odds correct at time of publishing. All odds subject to change.
🏟️ Team Focus:
Toluca
Formed: 1917
Stadium: The Estadio Nemesio Díez (31,000)
Captain: Alexis Vega
Chairman: Arturo Pérez Arredondo
Manager: Antonio Mohamed
Competitions: Liga MX (Clausura) position 1, Liga MX (Apertura) position 2, Primera (Clausura) Liguilla (Quarter-Finals)
🔑 Key Player: Paulinho
Generally deployed in the Striker position, Paulinho was born in Barcelos, Portugal. Having made a first senior appearance for Gil Vicente in the 2013 - 2014 season, the dangerous Forward has managed 12 league goals in the Liga MX (Clausura) 2024 - 2025 season to date from a total of 15 appearances.