📊 Form Guide

Fluminense

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Fluminense won’t want a repeat of their last result here following a 2-1 Serie A defeat in their last game at the hands of Bahia.

In that match, Fluminense had 60% possession and 9 shots on goal with 3 on target. The scorer for Fluminense was Germán Cano (4'). On the other side, Bahia had 12 shots at goal with 5 of them on target. Caio Alexandre (34') and Cauly (61') scored for Bahia.

It’s not been often in recent games that Fluminense have managed to hold out for a full 90 minutes. The facts show that Fluminense have seen their defence breached in 5 of their previous 6 games, giving up 7 goals in the process.

Their previous form shows that Fluminense:

• have not won against Vasco da Gama in their last 3 matches in the league.
• have not won at home in their last 2 league matches.

Vasco da Gama

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After suffering a loss in their previous game against Red Bull Bragantino in Serie A competition, Vasco da Gama and their fans will hope to get a better result this time.

In that game, Vasco da Gama had 60% possession and 13 attempts on goal with 3 of them on target. The only player on the scoresheet for Vasco da Gama was Pablo Vegetti (63'). Red Bull Bragantino got 17 shots at goal with 5 of them on target. Ignacio Laquintana (7') and Vitinho (78') scored for Red Bull Bragantino.

Vasco da Gama have been effective going forward of late, having scored 12 times in their previous 6 matches. While their manager Ramón Díaz will no doubt take that as a positive sign, Vasco da Gama have been somewhat leaky at the back, having also been scored against in 6 of those same games. That pattern isn’t assured to be sustained into this match, however.

Going into this contest, Vasco da Gama have not won against Fluminense when they've played them away from home in the last 3 league games.

👥 Head to head

A glance at their most recent head-to-head meetings dating back to 20/07/2019 shows us that Fluminense have won 1 of them & Vasco da Gama 2, with the number of drawn matches being 3.

A total of 16 goals were scored between the two sides in these games, with 7 of them for Tricolor and 9 belonging to Vascão. This gives an average number of goals per game equal to 2.67.

The last league fixture featuring the two was Serie A match day 23 on 16/09/2023 which ended up with the score at Vasco da Gama 4-2 Fluminense.

On that day, Vasco da Gama had 28% possession and 9 attempts on goal with 4 of them on target. The goalscorers were Praxedes (23'), Pablo Vegetti (50') and Gabriel Pec (74', 85').

On the other side, Fluminense got 19 shots at goal with 8 on target. Marcelo (46') and Lima (56') scored.

The referee was Raphael Claus.

🗞️ Team News: Fluminense

Almost everyone can be considered, as there’s just the sole fitness concern for the Fluminense boss Fernando Diniz to contend with from a near full-strength set of players. Calegari (Knee surgery) is out of contention.

In our view, Tricolor will possibly opt for a 4-2-3-1 formation for the game, handing starts to Fabio, Samuel Xavier, Felipe Melo, Manoel, Marcelo, André Trindade, Martinelli, Jhon Arias, Ganso, Marquinhos and Germán Cano.

📰 Team News: Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama boss Ramón Díaz has some current player fitness concerns. Paulinho Paula (Cruciate ligament injury) and Jair (Cruciate ligament injury) are those who can’t be considered.

From our viewpoint, Vascão could decide to elect for a 4-3-3 formation with a starting lineup of Léo Jardim, Paulo Henrique, Maicon, Léo, Lucas Piton, Pablo Galdames, Juan Sforza, Mateus Carvalho, Rossi, Pablo Vegetti and David.

🧠 Prediction

Our assessment is that Fluminense have it within them to have the majority of the possession and should be able to turn a few of their chances into goals.

At the same time, Vasco da Gama will be up against it getting goals although we do think that they will probably end up scoring as well.

We therefore think that it’s going to be a comfortable 3-1 winning margin for Fluminense after 90 minutes.

Our expert partners are tipping over 1.5 goals for this match. Check out their VIP predictions here.

Victor Martins, 18:08 20/04/2024